Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction

Italy · Serie A · 27 October 2026

Sassuolo13th · 8 pts
Tue 27 Oct
Lazio2nd · 19 pts
SassuoloDrawLazio
Our predictionLazio to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.25Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.41-1.55Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Sassuolo30%3.30
  • Draw25%3.97
  • Lazio44%2.25

Double chance

  • Sassuolo or draw56%1.80
  • Sassuolo or Lazio75%1.34
  • Draw or Lazio70%1.44

Goals

  • Over 2.557%1.76
  • Under 2.543%2.32

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.68
  • No41%2.46

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Sassuolo 30%, draw 25%, Lazio 44%.

Expected goals from the model: Sassuolo 1.41, Lazio 1.55. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.

Sassuolo have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDLWD).

Lazio have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).

In the table Sassuolo are 13th with 8 points and Lazio 2nd with 19.

In their last 5 league meetings Sassuolo won 1, Lazio won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-18%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-08%

Sassuolo form

DWLDL
  • Lat Frosinone2-42026-10-16
  • Dvs AC Milan1-12026-10-11
  • Lat Monza1-22026-09-18
  • Wvs Juventus3-22026-09-13
  • Dat Bologna2-22026-09-06

Lazio form

WDWWW
  • Wat Juventus3-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Monza3-12026-10-11
  • Wat Venezia2-02026-09-19
  • Dvs AC Milan2-22026-09-12
  • Wat Udinese2-12026-09-07

Head to head

  • 2026-03-09Lazio 2-1 Sassuolo
  • 2025-09-14Sassuolo 1-0 Lazio
  • 2024-05-26Lazio 1-1 Sassuolo
  • 2023-10-21Sassuolo 0-2 Lazio
  • 2023-05-03Lazio 2-0 Sassuolo

More Serie A predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.