Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction
Santa Clara4th · 18 pts
Benfica2nd · 19 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Santa Clara16%6.23
- Draw23%4.27
- Benfica61%1.65
Double chance
- Santa Clara or draw39%2.53
- Santa Clara or Benfica77%1.31
- Draw or Benfica84%1.19
Goals
- Over 2.541%2.45
- Under 2.559%1.69
Both teams to score
- Yes43%2.33
- No57%1.75
Match preview
The model makes Benfica clear favourites, with a 61% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 23% and a win for Santa Clara at 16%.
Expected goals from the model: Santa Clara 0.81, Benfica 1.51. The single most likely score is 0-1 (15%), and the chance of three or more goals is 41%.
Santa Clara have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDWWD).
Benfica have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWWW).
In the table Santa Clara are 4th with 18 points and Benfica 2nd with 19.
In their last 5 league meetings Santa Clara won 0, Benfica won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 0-115%
- 1-112%
- 0-211%
- 0-010%
- 1-29%
Santa Clara form
- Wat Casa Pia1-02026-10-10
- Dvs Sporting Braga0-02026-09-20
- Wat Arouca2-12026-09-13
- Wvs Rio Ave4-02026-09-06
- Dat Alverca1-12026-08-29
Benfica form
- Wvs Vitória Guimarães2-02026-10-11
- Lat Porto1-32026-09-20
- Wvs Gil Vicente3-12026-09-13
- Wat Moreirense4-02026-09-09
- Wat Marítimo3-02026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-02-13Santa Clara 1-2 Benfica
- 2025-09-12Benfica 1-1 Santa Clara
- 2025-02-15Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica
- 2024-09-14Benfica 4-1 Santa Clara
- 2023-05-27Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
More Primeira Liga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.