San Diego vs Sporting KC prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- San Diego65%1.55
- Draw18%5.62
- Sporting KC18%5.68
Double chance
- San Diego or draw82%1.21
- San Diego or Sporting KC82%1.22
- Draw or Sporting KC35%2.82
Goals
- Over 2.571%1.41
- Under 2.529%3.45
Both teams to score
- Yes66%1.51
- No34%2.96
Match in numbers
This season, San Diego at home and Sporting KC away
| San Diego (home) | Sporting KC (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 7 | 9 |
| Points per game | 1.57 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.7 | 4.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.9 | 6.2 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 78% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 56% |
- San Diego have scored in 8 straight league matches.
- Sporting KC have gone 7 league matches without a win.
- San Diego: 21st in the table; the model rates their attack 21st and their defence 25th in the league.
- Sporting KC: 29th in the table; the model rates their attack 24th and their defence 30th in the league.
- Our predictions for San Diego matches: 1 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Sporting KC matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
The model makes San Diego clear favourites at 65%. The draw is rated at 18% and a win for Sporting KC at 18%.
At home this season San Diego average 1.57 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Sporting KC take 0.33 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.7 per game for San Diego at home and 4.0 for Sporting KC on the road.
Current runs: San Diego have scored in 8 straight league matches; Sporting KC have gone 7 league matches without a win.
The model expects 2.35 goals from San Diego and 1.33 from Sporting KC; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 71% and both teams to score 66%.
In their last 3 league meetings San Diego won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 1-18%
- 3-17%
- 2-07%
- 2-26%
San Diego form
- Wat St. Louis City1-02026-10-31
- Lat Vancouver Whitecaps1-42026-10-29
- Dvs Seattle Sounders2-22026-10-25
- Dat LA Galaxy2-22026-10-18
- Dvs Houston Dynamo3-32026-10-15
Sporting KC form
- Dvs Dallas1-12026-10-31
- Lat Minnesota United1-32026-10-29
- Lvs Austin1-22026-10-25
- Lvs Real Salt Lake1-32026-10-18
- Lat Nashville SC0-42026-10-15
Head to head
- 2026-03-08Sporting KC 0-1 San Diego
- 2025-08-10Sporting KC 0-2 San Diego
- 2025-05-18San Diego 0-0 Sporting KC
Prediction made 2026-11-07 23:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.