Roma vs Cagliari prediction
Roma3rd · 17 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Roma70%1.43
- Draw19%5.40
- Cagliari11%8.73
Double chance
- Roma or draw89%1.13
- Roma or Cagliari81%1.23
- Draw or Cagliari30%3.34
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.02
- Under 2.551%1.98
Both teams to score
- Yes46%2.16
- No54%1.86
Match preview
The model makes Roma clear favourites, with a 70% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Cagliari at 11%.
Expected goals from the model: Roma 1.85, Cagliari 0.80. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.
Roma have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDDWW).
Cagliari have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWWW).
In the table Roma are 3rd with 17 points and Cagliari 7th with 13.
In their last 5 league meetings Roma won 3, Cagliari won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 2-012%
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 3-07%
Roma form
- Wvs Genoa2-02026-10-17
- Dat Como0-02026-10-11
- Dvs Inter Milan2-22026-09-19
- Wat Torino2-02026-09-14
- Wvs Atalanta2-12026-09-05
Cagliari form
- Lat Monza0-42026-10-19
- Dvs Juventus1-12026-10-11
- Wat Udinese1-02026-09-19
- Wat Atalanta2-12026-09-12
- Wvs Lecce1-02026-09-07
Head to head
- 2026-02-09Roma 2-0 Cagliari
- 2025-12-07Cagliari 1-0 Roma
- 2025-03-16Roma 1-0 Cagliari
- 2024-08-18Cagliari 0-0 Roma
- 2024-02-05Roma 4-0 Cagliari
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.