Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Real Salt Lake vs LA Galaxy prediction

USA · MLS · 08 November 2026

Real Salt Lake27th · 16 pts
2 - 1Full time
LA Galaxy17th · 24 pts
Real Salt LakeDrawLA Galaxy
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Real Salt Lake to win (49%)
Our predictionReal Salt Lake to winLean
49%Probability
2.03Fair odds
2-1Likely score
1.96-1.33Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Real Salt Lake49%2.03
  • Draw24%4.15
  • LA Galaxy27%3.76

Double chance

  • Real Salt Lake or draw73%1.36
  • Real Salt Lake or LA Galaxy76%1.32
  • Draw or LA Galaxy51%1.97

Goals

  • Over 2.564%1.56
  • Under 2.536%2.77

Both teams to score

  • Yes63%1.59
  • No37%2.71

Match in numbers

This season, Real Salt Lake at home and LA Galaxy away

Real Salt Lake (home)LA Galaxy (away)
Matches88
Points per game1.120.75
Goals scored per game1.621.38
Goals conceded per game1.622.50
Shots on target per game6.84.4
Shots on target conceded3.85.6
Clean sheets25%0%
Over 2.5 goals62%75%
Both teams scored50%75%
  • Real Salt Lake have scored in 7 straight league matches.
  • LA Galaxy have scored in 8 straight league matches.
  • Real Salt Lake: 27th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 7th in the league.
  • LA Galaxy: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 24th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Real Salt Lake matches: 4 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for LA Galaxy matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Real Salt Lake have the edge at 49%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for LA Galaxy at 27%.

At home this season Real Salt Lake average 1.12 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 1.6. Away from home LA Galaxy take 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Real Salt Lake manage 6.8 per home game and LA Galaxy 4.4 per away game.

Form lines: Real Salt Lake have scored in 7 straight league matches; LA Galaxy have scored in 8 straight league matches.

Real Salt Lake sit 27th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Real Salt Lake 1.96, LA Galaxy 1.33. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.

In their last 5 league meetings Real Salt Lake won 1, LA Galaxy won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-110%
  • 1-07%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-26%

Real Salt Lake form

DWWWL
  • Lat SJ Earthquakes1-22026-10-31
  • Wat Austin2-12026-10-29
  • Wvs St. Louis City3-02026-10-25
  • Wat Sporting KC3-12026-10-18
  • Dvs SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-15

LA Galaxy form

LWDDW
  • Wvs Austin4-12026-10-31
  • Dat Los Angeles2-22026-10-26
  • Dvs San Diego2-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Portland Timbers2-02026-10-15
  • Lat St. Louis City2-62026-10-11

Head to head

  • 2026-04-26LA Galaxy 2-1 Real Salt Lake
  • 2025-06-01LA Galaxy 2-0 Real Salt Lake
  • 2025-04-05Real Salt Lake 2-0 LA Galaxy
  • 2024-06-23Real Salt Lake 0-1 LA Galaxy
  • 2024-05-12LA Galaxy 2-2 Real Salt Lake

Prediction made 2026-11-07 23:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.