Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo prediction

USA · MLS · 02 November 2026

Portland Timbers13th · 26 pts
3 - 1Full time
Houston Dynamo8th · 29 pts
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Portland Timbers to win (41%)
Our predictionPortland Timbers to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.43Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.45-1.22Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Portland Timbers41%2.43
  • Draw28%3.61
  • Houston Dynamo31%3.22

Double chance

  • Portland Timbers or draw69%1.45
  • Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo72%1.38
  • Draw or Houston Dynamo59%1.70

Goals

  • Over 2.550%2.00
  • Under 2.550%2.00

Both teams to score

  • Yes54%1.86
  • No46%2.16

Match in numbers

This season, Portland Timbers at home and Houston Dynamo away

Portland Timbers (home)Houston Dynamo (away)
Matches109
Points per game1.801.67
Goals scored per game2.001.33
Goals conceded per game1.600.89
Shots on target per game5.34.4
Shots on target conceded3.63.6
Clean sheets10%56%
Over 2.5 goals80%33%
Both teams scored80%33%
  • Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • Portland Timbers: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 21st in the league.
  • Houston Dynamo: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 30th and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Portland Timbers matches: 3 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Houston Dynamo matches: 1 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 41% for Portland Timbers, 28% for the draw and 31% for Houston Dynamo.

At home this season Portland Timbers average 1.80 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.6. Away from home Houston Dynamo take 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.9. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.3 per game for Portland Timbers at home and 4.4 for Houston Dynamo on the road.

Current runs: Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

Portland Timbers are 13th in the table while the model ranks them only 18th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Houston Dynamo are 8th in the table while the model ranks them only 21st on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.45 goals from Portland Timbers and 1.22 from Houston Dynamo; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 54%.

In their last 5 league meetings Portland Timbers won 1, Houston Dynamo won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-19%
  • 1-27%

Portland Timbers form

DLDWW
  • Wat St. Louis City3-22026-10-29
  • Wvs Charlotte3-22026-10-25
  • Dvs Colorado Rapids0-02026-10-18
  • Lat LA Galaxy0-22026-10-15
  • Dat Sporting KC3-32026-10-11

Houston Dynamo form

DDDDW
  • Wat Seattle Sounders1-02026-10-29
  • Dvs Minnesota United0-02026-10-25
  • Dvs Dallas2-22026-10-18
  • Dat San Diego3-32026-10-15
  • Dat Minnesota United2-22026-10-11

Head to head

  • 2026-03-15Houston Dynamo 3-2 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-09-21Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-03-30Portland Timbers 3-1 Houston Dynamo
  • 2024-06-02Portland Timbers 2-2 Houston Dynamo
  • 2024-03-17Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers

Prediction made 2026-11-02 02:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.