Parma vs Udinese prediction

Italy · Serie A · 28 October 2026

Parma19th · 4 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Udinese16th · 4 pts
ParmaDrawUdinese
Our predictionParma to winOpen game
36%Probability
2.79Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.11-1.17Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Parma36%2.79
  • Draw30%3.38
  • Udinese35%2.89

Double chance

  • Parma or draw65%1.53
  • Parma or Udinese70%1.42
  • Draw or Udinese64%1.56

Goals

  • Over 2.540%2.50
  • Under 2.560%1.67

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.17
  • No54%1.85

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Parma 36%, draw 30%, Udinese 35%.

Expected goals from the model: Parma 1.11, Udinese 1.17. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 40%.

Parma have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLWLD).

Udinese have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

In the table Parma are 19th with 4 points and Udinese 16th with 4.

In their last 5 league meetings Parma won 1, Udinese won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-112%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-010%
  • 1-28%

Parma form

DLWLL
  • Lvs Torino0-32026-10-19
  • Lat Inter Milan0-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Genoa2-12026-09-20
  • Lat Como1-22026-09-14
  • Dvs Monza1-12026-09-06

Udinese form

LLLLL
  • Lvs Lecce0-32026-10-18
  • Lat Torino1-22026-10-12
  • Lvs Cagliari0-12026-09-19
  • Lat Inter Milan3-52026-09-14
  • Lvs Lazio1-22026-09-07

Head to head

  • 2026-04-18Udinese 0-1 Parma
  • 2025-11-29Parma 0-2 Udinese
  • 2025-03-01Udinese 1-0 Parma
  • 2024-09-16Parma 2-3 Udinese
  • 2021-02-21Parma 2-2 Udinese

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.