Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- OH Leuven41%2.46
- Draw28%3.62
- Mechelen32%3.15
Double chance
- OH Leuven or draw68%1.46
- OH Leuven or Mechelen72%1.38
- Draw or Mechelen59%1.69
Goals
- Over 2.551%1.97
- Under 2.549%2.03
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.84
- No46%2.19
Match in numbers
This season, OH Leuven at home and Mechelen away
| OH Leuven (home) | Mechelen (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
- OH Leuven are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
- Mechelen have won their last 3 league matches.
- OH Leuven: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Mechelen: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 11th in the league.
- Our predictions for OH Leuven matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Mechelen matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. OH Leuven 41%, draw 28%, Mechelen 32%.
At home this season OH Leuven average 1.00 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.6. Away from home Mechelen take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, OH Leuven manage 3.2 per home game and Mechelen 4.2 per away game.
Form lines: OH Leuven are unbeaten in 5 league matches; Mechelen have won their last 3 league matches.
Mechelen are 10th in the table while the model ranks them only 15th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: OH Leuven 1.47, Mechelen 1.23. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.
In their last 5 league meetings OH Leuven won 1, Mechelen won 1 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-010%
- 2-19%
- 0-18%
- 1-27%
OH Leuven form
- Wat Sint-Truiden2-12026-11-01
- Dvs Lommel2-22026-10-24
- Dat Union Saint-Gilloise1-12026-10-11
- Wvs RAAL La Louvière2-02026-09-19
- Dvs Cercle Brugge1-12026-09-12
Mechelen form
- Wat Kortrijk3-12026-11-04
- Wvs Racing Genk1-02026-10-31
- Wvs Sint-Truiden4-32026-10-11
- Dat Lommel0-02026-09-19
- Lvs Anderlecht0-12026-09-11
Head to head
- 2026-02-01OH Leuven 2-2 Mechelen
- 2025-10-25Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven
- 2025-05-03OH Leuven 1-2 Mechelen
- 2025-04-13Mechelen 1-1 OH Leuven
- 2025-01-31OH Leuven 1-0 Mechelen
Prediction made 2026-11-07 16:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.