New York RB vs Atlanta United prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- New York RB48%2.08
- Draw26%3.87
- Atlanta United26%3.84
Double chance
- New York RB or draw74%1.35
- New York RB or Atlanta United74%1.35
- Draw or Atlanta United52%1.93
Goals
- Over 2.553%1.90
- Under 2.547%2.12
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.81
- No45%2.23
Match in numbers
This season, New York RB at home and Atlanta United away
| New York RB (home) | Atlanta United (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.11 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.22 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.8 | 4.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 60% |
- Atlanta United have scored in 8 straight league matches.
- New York RB: 26th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Atlanta United: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 26th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Our predictions for New York RB matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Atlanta United matches: 4 of 4 correct.
Match preview
New York RB have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Atlanta United at 26%.
At home this season New York RB average 1.11 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Atlanta United take 1.20 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, New York RB manage 5.8 per home game and Atlanta United 4.5 per away game.
Form lines: Atlanta United have scored in 8 straight league matches.
New York RB sit 26th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 15th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Atlanta United are 19th in the table while the model ranks them only 25th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: New York RB 1.60, Atlanta United 1.19. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.
In their last 5 league meetings New York RB won 1, Atlanta United won 2 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-010%
- 2-19%
- 2-08%
- 0-18%
New York RB form
- Lat Nashville SC2-32026-11-01
- Lat New England2-32026-10-28
- Wvs Inter Miami2-02026-10-24
- Lvs Toronto0-22026-10-17
- Lat DC United1-22026-10-14
Atlanta United form
- Wvs Toronto3-12026-11-01
- Lat New York City1-22026-10-28
- Lvs Chicago Fire2-32026-10-24
- Lvs Inter Miami1-32026-10-17
- Wat Montréal3-02026-10-14
Head to head
- 2026-08-15Atlanta United 2-1 New York RB
- 2025-06-01New York RB 2-0 Atlanta United
- 2025-03-09Atlanta United 0-0 New York RB
- 2024-10-06Atlanta United 2-1 New York RB
- 2024-09-22New York RB 2-2 Atlanta United
Prediction made 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.