New England vs Inter Miami prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- New England36%2.75
- Draw23%4.27
- Inter Miami40%2.49
Double chance
- New England or draw60%1.67
- New England or Inter Miami77%1.31
- Draw or Inter Miami64%1.57
Goals
- Over 2.570%1.42
- Under 2.530%3.35
Both teams to score
- Yes70%1.43
- No30%3.31
Match in numbers
This season, New England at home and Inter Miami away
| New England (home) | Inter Miami (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 1.14 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.62 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.38 | 1.71 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.8 | 4.9 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 71% |
- New England have won their last 4 league matches.
- New England: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 18th in the league.
- Inter Miami: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 12th in the league.
- Our predictions for New England matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Inter Miami matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 36% for New England, 23% for the draw and 40% for Inter Miami.
At home this season New England average 1.75 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Inter Miami take 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.0 per game for New England at home and 3.9 for Inter Miami on the road.
Current runs: New England have won their last 4 league matches.
New England are 4th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Inter Miami sit 15th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.75 goals from New England and 1.88 from Inter Miami; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 70% and both teams to score 70%.
In their last 5 league meetings Inter Miami won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-15%
New England form
- Wvs New York RB3-22026-10-28
- Wat Philadelphia Union2-12026-10-24
- Wvs Chicago Fire1-02026-10-17
- Wat Cincinnati3-22026-10-14
- Lvs Seattle Sounders0-32026-10-10
Inter Miami form
- Dvs Cincinnati2-22026-10-28
- Lat New York RB0-22026-10-24
- Wat Atlanta United3-12026-10-17
- Wvs New York City2-02026-10-14
- Wvs DC United4-02026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-04-25Inter Miami 1-1 New England
- 2025-10-04Inter Miami 4-1 New England
- 2025-07-10New England 1-2 Inter Miami
- 2024-10-19Inter Miami 6-2 New England
- 2024-04-28New England 1-4 Inter Miami
Prediction made 2026-11-01 23:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.