Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Nashville SC vs New York RB prediction

USA · MLS · 01 November 2026

Nashville SC2nd · 38 pts
3 - 2Full time
New York RB25th · 17 pts
Nashville SCDrawNew York RB
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Nashville SC to win (69%)
Our predictionNashville SC to winStrong pick
69%Probability
1.45Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.93-0.94Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Nashville SC69%1.45
  • Draw18%5.55
  • New York RB13%7.72

Double chance

  • Nashville SC or draw87%1.15
  • Nashville SC or New York RB82%1.22
  • Draw or New York RB31%3.23

Goals

  • Over 2.555%1.83
  • Under 2.545%2.21

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.93
  • No48%2.08

Match in numbers

This season, Nashville SC at home and New York RB away

Nashville SC (home)New York RB (away)
Matches98
Points per game2.780.88
Goals scored per game2.440.88
Goals conceded per game0.331.50
Shots on target per game6.04.4
Shots on target conceded3.15.1
Clean sheets78%38%
Over 2.5 goals56%50%
Both teams scored22%50%
  • Nashville SC are unbeaten in 8 league matches.
  • Nashville SC: 2nd in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 1st in the league.
  • New York RB: 25th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Nashville SC matches: 3 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for New York RB matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

The model makes Nashville SC clear favourites at 69%. The draw is rated at 18% and a win for New York RB at 13%.

At home this season Nashville SC average 2.78 points and 2.4 goals per game, conceding 0.3. Away from home New York RB take 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Nashville SC manage 6.0 per home game and New York RB 4.4 per away game.

Form lines: Nashville SC are unbeaten in 8 league matches.

New York RB sit 25th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 15th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Nashville SC 1.93, New York RB 0.94. The single most likely score is 1-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.

In their last 5 league meetings Nashville SC won 2, New York RB won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-011%
  • 2-011%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 3-07%

Nashville SC form

WWDWD
  • Dvs Philadelphia Union0-02026-10-29
  • Wat Montréal2-02026-10-24
  • Dat SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Sporting KC4-02026-10-15
  • Wat Austin4-12026-10-11

New York RB form

WLLWL
  • Lat New England2-32026-10-28
  • Wvs Inter Miami2-02026-10-24
  • Lvs Toronto0-22026-10-17
  • Lat DC United1-22026-10-14
  • Wvs San Diego4-12026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2026-08-19New York RB 0-1 Nashville SC
  • 2025-05-15Nashville SC 2-1 New York RB
  • 2025-03-02New York RB 2-0 Nashville SC
  • 2024-06-16New York RB 0-0 Nashville SC
  • 2024-02-25Nashville SC 0-0 New York RB

Prediction made 2026-11-01 21:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.