Monza vs Napoli prediction
Monza14th · 7 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Monza19%5.29
- Draw21%4.80
- Napoli60%1.66
Double chance
- Monza or draw40%2.52
- Monza or Napoli79%1.26
- Draw or Napoli81%1.23
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.77
- Under 2.544%2.30
Both teams to score
- Yes57%1.76
- No43%2.31
Match preview
The model makes Napoli clear favourites, with a 60% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 21% and a win for Monza at 19%.
Expected goals from the model: Monza 1.15, Napoli 1.80. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
Monza have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLD).
Napoli have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDWL).
In the table Monza are 14th with 7 points and Napoli 9th with 10.
In their last 5 league meetings Monza won 1, Napoli won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-210%
- 0-110%
- 0-29%
- 1-06%
Monza form
- Wvs Cagliari4-02026-10-19
- Lat Lazio1-32026-10-11
- Wvs Sassuolo2-12026-09-18
- Lat Lecce2-32026-09-13
- Dat Parma1-12026-09-06
Napoli form
- Lat Venezia0-12026-10-17
- Wvs Frosinone3-02026-10-10
- Dat Fiorentina1-12026-09-20
- Wvs Bologna1-02026-09-13
- Lat Inter Milan2-32026-09-05
Head to head
- 2025-04-19Monza 0-1 Napoli
- 2024-09-29Napoli 2-0 Monza
- 2024-04-07Monza 2-4 Napoli
- 2023-12-29Napoli 0-0 Monza
- 2023-05-14Monza 2-0 Napoli
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.