Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Montréal vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction

USA · MLS · 07 November 2026

Montréal30th · 12 pts
0 - 2Full time
Vancouver Whitecaps7th · 29 pts
MontréalDrawVancouver Whitecaps
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Vancouver Whitecaps to win (55%)
Our predictionVancouver Whitecaps to winLean
55%Probability
1.82Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.17-1.68Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Montréal22%4.55
  • Draw23%4.35
  • Vancouver Whitecaps55%1.82

Double chance

  • Montréal or draw45%2.22
  • Montréal or Vancouver Whitecaps77%1.30
  • Draw or Vancouver Whitecaps78%1.28

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.84
  • Under 2.546%2.19

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.79
  • No44%2.27

Match in numbers

This season, Montréal at home and Vancouver Whitecaps away

Montréal (home)Vancouver Whitecaps (away)
Matches1010
Points per game0.701.50
Goals scored per game0.901.50
Goals conceded per game1.601.00
Shots on target per game4.63.9
Shots on target conceded3.54.0
Clean sheets10%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%50%
Both teams scored50%40%
  • Montréal have gone 6 league matches without a win.
  • Montréal: 30th in the table; the model rates their attack 27th and their defence 19th in the league.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 3rd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Montréal matches: 3 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Vancouver Whitecaps matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Vancouver Whitecaps have the edge at 55%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Montréal at 22%.

At home this season Montréal average 0.70 points and 0.9 goals per game, conceding 1.6. Away from home Vancouver Whitecaps take 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Montréal manage 4.6 per home game and Vancouver Whitecaps 3.9 per away game.

Form lines: Montréal have gone 6 league matches without a win.

Expected goals from the model: Montréal 1.17, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.68. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.

In their last 5 league meetings Montréal won 1, Vancouver Whitecaps won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 0-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-28%
  • 1-07%

Montréal form

LDLLD
  • Dat New York City1-12026-10-31
  • Lat Charlotte0-42026-10-28
  • Lvs Nashville SC0-22026-10-24
  • Dat Seattle Sounders1-12026-10-18
  • Lvs Atlanta United0-32026-10-14

Vancouver Whitecaps form

DWLWW
  • Wvs Seattle Sounders5-12026-11-01
  • Wvs San Diego4-12026-10-29
  • Lat Colorado Rapids0-12026-10-25
  • Wat Austin2-12026-10-18
  • Dat St. Louis City0-02026-10-15

Head to head

  • 2025-03-09Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 Montréal
  • 2024-07-07Montréal 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 2023-04-02Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 Montréal
  • 2022-04-16Montréal 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • 2021-05-08Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 Montréal

Prediction made 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.