Minnesota United vs SJ Earthquakes prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Minnesota United49%2.06
- Draw24%4.22
- SJ Earthquakes28%3.60
Double chance
- Minnesota United or draw72%1.38
- Minnesota United or SJ Earthquakes76%1.31
- Draw or SJ Earthquakes51%1.94
Goals
- Over 2.565%1.53
- Under 2.535%2.88
Both teams to score
- Yes65%1.54
- No35%2.84
Match in numbers
This season, Minnesota United at home and SJ Earthquakes away
| Minnesota United (home) | SJ Earthquakes (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.11 | 0.88 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.78 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.2 | 3.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.4 | 6.4 |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 89% | 62% |
- Minnesota United are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
- Minnesota United: 25th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 17th in the league.
- SJ Earthquakes: 24th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 23rd in the league.
- Our predictions for Minnesota United matches: 2 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for SJ Earthquakes matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Minnesota United (49%), though SJ Earthquakes win 28% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.
At home this season Minnesota United average 1.11 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home SJ Earthquakes take 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.2 per game for Minnesota United at home and 3.2 for SJ Earthquakes on the road.
Current runs: Minnesota United are unbeaten in 6 league matches.
Minnesota United sit 25th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 12th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.94 goals from Minnesota United and 1.43 from SJ Earthquakes; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 65% and both teams to score 65%.
Minnesota United won all 5 of the last league meetings between the two.
Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 2-19%
- 1-07%
- 1-27%
- 2-27%
Minnesota United form
- Wat Los Angeles3-12026-11-02
- Wvs Sporting KC3-12026-10-29
- Dat Houston Dynamo0-02026-10-25
- Wvs St. Louis City3-22026-10-17
- Dat Colorado Rapids2-22026-10-15
SJ Earthquakes form
- Wvs Real Salt Lake2-12026-10-31
- Dvs Colorado Rapids2-22026-10-29
- Lat Dallas0-32026-10-25
- Dvs Nashville SC1-12026-10-18
- Dat Real Salt Lake1-12026-10-15
Head to head
- 2026-08-23SJ Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United
- 2025-07-13Minnesota United 4-1 SJ Earthquakes
- 2025-03-09SJ Earthquakes 0-1 Minnesota United
- 2024-09-01SJ Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United
- 2024-07-21Minnesota United 2-0 SJ Earthquakes
Prediction made 2026-11-07 23:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.