Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Mechelen vs Racing Genk prediction

Belgium · Belgian Pro League · 31 October 2026

Mechelen15th · 6 pts
1 - 0Full time
Racing Genk6th · 15 pts
MechelenDrawRacing Genk
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Racing Genk to win (51%)
Our predictionRacing Genk to winLean
51%Probability
1.97Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.24-1.83Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Mechelen25%4.03
  • Draw24%4.08
  • Racing Genk51%1.97

Double chance

  • Mechelen or draw49%2.03
  • Mechelen or Racing Genk76%1.32
  • Draw or Racing Genk75%1.33

Goals

  • Over 2.559%1.69
  • Under 2.541%2.45

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.68
  • No41%2.46

Match in numbers

This season, Mechelen at home and Racing Genk away

Mechelen (home)Racing Genk (away)
Matches44
Points per game1.000.50
Goals scored per game1.751.25
Goals conceded per game2.752.25
Shots on target per game3.03.5
Shots on target conceded5.85.5
Clean sheets0%25%
Over 2.5 goals75%75%
Both teams scored50%50%
  • Mechelen: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Racing Genk: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 3rd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Mechelen matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Racing Genk matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Racing Genk (51%), though Mechelen win 25% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.

At home this season Mechelen average 1.00 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 2.8. Away from home Racing Genk take 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.0 per game for Mechelen at home and 3.5 for Racing Genk on the road.

The model expects 1.24 goals from Mechelen and 1.83 from Racing Genk; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 59% and both teams to score 59%.

In their last 5 league meetings Mechelen won 1, Racing Genk won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-19%
  • 0-28%
  • 2-17%

Mechelen form

DLLDW
  • Wvs Sint-Truiden4-32026-10-11
  • Dat Lommel0-02026-09-19
  • Lvs Anderlecht0-12026-09-11
  • Lvs Westerlo0-42026-09-05
  • Dat RAAL La Louvière2-22026-08-29

Racing Genk form

DDLWW
  • Wvs Standard Liège2-12026-10-25
  • Wvs Kortrijk3-02026-10-10
  • Lat Club Brugge0-32026-09-20
  • Dvs Gent1-12026-09-13
  • Dat Anderlecht0-02026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-02-13Mechelen 2-3 Racing Genk
  • 2025-11-23Racing Genk 0-1 Mechelen
  • 2025-01-18Mechelen 1-2 Racing Genk
  • 2024-09-28Racing Genk 2-1 Mechelen
  • 2024-02-11Mechelen 1-1 Racing Genk

Prediction made 2026-10-31 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.