Los Angeles vs Minnesota United prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Los Angeles56%1.79
- Draw23%4.28
- Minnesota United21%4.80
Double chance
- Los Angeles or draw79%1.26
- Los Angeles or Minnesota United77%1.31
- Draw or Minnesota United44%2.26
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.76
- Under 2.543%2.32
Both teams to score
- Yes56%1.77
- No44%2.30
Match in numbers
This season, Los Angeles at home and Minnesota United away
| Los Angeles (home) | Minnesota United (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.4 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.9 | 5.8 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 88% |
- Minnesota United are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
- Los Angeles: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Minnesota United: 26th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Our predictions for Los Angeles matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Minnesota United matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Los Angeles (56%), though Minnesota United win 21% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 23%.
At home this season Los Angeles average 1.88 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 0.9. Away from home Minnesota United take 0.75 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.4 per game for Los Angeles at home and 5.0 for Minnesota United on the road.
Current runs: Minnesota United are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
Los Angeles sit 18th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 5th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Minnesota United sit 26th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 12th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.85 goals from Los Angeles and 1.12 from Minnesota United; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 57% and both teams to score 56%.
In their last 5 league meetings Los Angeles won 4 and Minnesota United won 1.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 1-010%
- 2-09%
- 3-16%
Los Angeles form
- Dvs LA Galaxy2-22026-10-26
- Dat New York City1-12026-10-17
- Wvs Austin3-12026-10-15
- Dvs Vancouver Whitecaps1-12026-10-11
- Lat Dallas0-12026-09-27
Minnesota United form
- Wvs Sporting KC3-12026-10-29
- Dat Houston Dynamo0-02026-10-25
- Wvs St. Louis City3-22026-10-17
- Dat Colorado Rapids2-22026-10-15
- Dvs Houston Dynamo2-22026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-04-25Minnesota United 0-1 Los Angeles
- 2025-07-17Minnesota United 0-1 Los Angeles
- 2025-02-22Los Angeles 1-0 Minnesota United
- 2024-05-30Los Angeles 2-0 Minnesota United
- 2024-03-17Minnesota United 2-0 Los Angeles
Prediction made 2026-11-02 01:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.