Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Lommel33%3.07
- Draw28%3.54
- Gent39%2.55
Double chance
- Lommel or draw61%1.64
- Lommel or Gent72%1.39
- Draw or Gent67%1.48
Goals
- Over 2.546%2.17
- Under 2.554%1.85
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.96
- No49%2.04
Match in numbers
This season, Lommel at home and Gent away
| Lommel (home) | Gent (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 2.0 | 4.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
- Gent have won their last 3 league matches.
- Lommel: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Gent: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 5th in the league.
- Our predictions for Lommel matches: 0 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Gent matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Lommel 33%, draw 28%, Gent 39%.
At home this season Lommel average 1.00 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 0.5. Away from home Gent take 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Lommel manage 2.0 per home game and Gent 4.5 per away game.
Form lines: Gent have won their last 3 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Lommel 1.24, Gent 1.28. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 46%.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-111%
- 1-010%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
Lommel form
- Dat OH Leuven2-22026-10-24
- Wat Beveren3-12026-10-09
- Dvs Mechelen0-02026-09-19
- Lat Union Saint-Gilloise0-52026-09-12
- Lvs Club Brugge0-12026-09-04
Gent form
- Wvs Anderlecht4-02026-10-25
- Wat Zulte Waregem2-02026-10-10
- Wvs Standard Liège2-12026-09-18
- Dat Racing Genk1-12026-09-13
- Wat Cercle Brugge3-02026-09-06
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-01 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.