Lecce vs Juventus prediction

Italy · Serie A · 25 October 2026

Lecce12th · 9 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Juventus8th · 11 pts
LecceDrawJuventus
Our predictionJuventus to winStrong pick
60%Probability
1.66Fair odds
0-1Likely score
0.78-1.78Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Lecce15%6.55
  • Draw24%4.09
  • Juventus60%1.66

Double chance

  • Lecce or draw40%2.52
  • Lecce or Juventus76%1.32
  • Draw or Juventus85%1.18

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.12
  • Under 2.553%1.89

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.23
  • No55%1.81

Match preview

The model makes Juventus clear favourites, with a 60% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 24% and a win for Lecce at 15%.

Expected goals from the model: Lecce 0.78, Juventus 1.78. The single most likely score is 0-1 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Lecce have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLLWL).

Juventus have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDWLD).

In the table Lecce are 12th with 9 points and Juventus 8th with 11.

In their last 5 league meetings Lecce won 0, Juventus won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-114%
  • 0-212%
  • 1-111%
  • 1-210%
  • 0-08%

Lecce form

LWLLW
  • Wat Udinese3-02026-10-18
  • Lvs Bologna1-22026-10-11
  • Lat AC Milan0-32026-09-20
  • Wvs Monza3-22026-09-13
  • Lat Cagliari0-12026-09-07

Juventus form

DLWDL
  • Lvs Lazio0-32026-10-18
  • Dat Cagliari1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Atalanta2-02026-09-20
  • Lat Sassuolo2-32026-09-13
  • Dvs AC Milan1-12026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-05-09Lecce 0-1 Juventus
  • 2026-01-03Juventus 1-1 Lecce
  • 2025-04-12Juventus 2-1 Lecce
  • 2024-12-01Lecce 1-1 Juventus
  • 2024-01-21Lecce 0-3 Juventus

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.