Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- LA Galaxy58%1.72
- Draw21%4.74
- Austin21%4.86
Double chance
- LA Galaxy or draw79%1.26
- LA Galaxy or Austin79%1.27
- Draw or Austin42%2.40
Goals
- Over 2.567%1.48
- Under 2.533%3.06
Both teams to score
- Yes64%1.57
- No36%2.76
Match in numbers
This season, LA Galaxy at home and Austin away
| LA Galaxy (home) | Austin (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.33 | 1.12 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.8 | 6.2 |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 62% |
- LA Galaxy have scored in 7 straight league matches.
- Austin have scored in 6 straight league matches.
- LA Galaxy: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 24th in the league.
- Austin: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 28th and their defence 28th in the league.
- Our predictions for LA Galaxy matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Austin matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
LA Galaxy have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 21% and a win for Austin at 21%.
At home this season LA Galaxy average 1.67 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 1.3. Away from home Austin take 1.62 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, LA Galaxy manage 5.6 per home game and Austin 4.4 per away game.
Form lines: LA Galaxy have scored in 7 straight league matches; Austin have scored in 6 straight league matches.
Austin are 20th in the table while the model ranks them only 30th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: LA Galaxy 2.20, Austin 1.27. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.
In their last 5 league meetings LA Galaxy won 2 and Austin won 3.
Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 1-19%
- 2-08%
- 1-07%
- 3-17%
LA Galaxy form
- Dat Los Angeles2-22026-10-26
- Dvs San Diego2-22026-10-18
- Wvs Portland Timbers2-02026-10-15
- Lat St. Louis City2-62026-10-11
- Wvs Colorado Rapids3-22026-09-27
Austin form
- Lvs Real Salt Lake1-22026-10-29
- Wat Sporting KC2-12026-10-25
- Lvs Vancouver Whitecaps1-22026-10-18
- Lat Los Angeles1-32026-10-15
- Lvs Nashville SC1-42026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-04-11Austin 1-2 LA Galaxy
- 2025-07-17LA Galaxy 1-2 Austin
- 2025-04-19Austin 1-0 LA Galaxy
- 2024-10-06LA Galaxy 2-1 Austin
- 2024-04-27Austin 2-0 LA Galaxy
Prediction made 2026-10-31 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.