Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Juventus vs Napoli prediction

Italy · Serie A · 01 November 2026

Juventus9th · 11 pts
Sun 01 Nov
Napoli10th · 10 pts
JuventusDrawNapoli
Our predictionJuventus to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.25Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.35-1.01Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Juventus44%2.25
  • Draw29%3.49
  • Napoli27%3.72

Double chance

  • Juventus or draw73%1.37
  • Juventus or Napoli71%1.40
  • Draw or Napoli56%1.80

Goals

  • Over 2.542%2.39
  • Under 2.558%1.72

Both teams to score

  • Yes47%2.14
  • No53%1.88

Match in numbers

This season, Juventus at home and Napoli away

Juventus (home)Napoli (away)
Matches44
Points per game1.751.00
Goals scored per game1.251.25
Goals conceded per game1.001.25
Shots on target per game4.56.5
Shots on target conceded2.24.5
Clean sheets50%25%
Over 2.5 goals25%25%
Both teams scored25%50%
  • Juventus: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 1st in the league.
  • Napoli: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 2nd in the league.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 44% for Juventus, 29% for the draw and 27% for Napoli.

At home this season Juventus average 1.75 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Napoli take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.5 per game for Juventus at home and 6.5 for Napoli on the road.

Juventus sit 9th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 2nd in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Napoli sit 10th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 5th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.35 goals from Juventus and 1.01 from Napoli; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 47%.

In their last 5 league meetings Juventus won 1, Napoli won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-110%
  • 0-09%
  • 2-19%

Juventus form

DLWDL
  • Lvs Lazio0-32026-10-18
  • Dat Cagliari1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Atalanta2-02026-09-20
  • Lat Sassuolo2-32026-09-13
  • Dvs AC Milan1-12026-09-06

Napoli form

LWDWL
  • Lat Venezia0-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Frosinone3-02026-10-10
  • Dat Fiorentina1-12026-09-20
  • Wvs Bologna1-02026-09-13
  • Lat Inter Milan2-32026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-01-25Juventus 3-0 Napoli
  • 2025-12-07Napoli 2-1 Juventus
  • 2025-01-25Napoli 2-1 Juventus
  • 2024-09-21Juventus 0-0 Napoli
  • 2024-03-03Napoli 2-1 Juventus

More Serie A predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.