Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Inter Miami vs Charlotte prediction

USA · MLS · 07 November 2026

Inter Miami12th · 28 pts
3 - 3Full time
Charlotte5th · 32 pts
Inter MiamiDrawCharlotte
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Inter Miami to win (63%)
Our predictionInter Miami to winStrong pick
63%Probability
1.58Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.58-1.33Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Inter Miami63%1.58
  • Draw19%5.40
  • Charlotte18%5.47

Double chance

  • Inter Miami or draw82%1.22
  • Inter Miami or Charlotte81%1.23
  • Draw or Charlotte37%2.72

Goals

  • Over 2.575%1.34
  • Under 2.525%3.97

Both teams to score

  • Yes68%1.47
  • No32%3.11

Match in numbers

This season, Inter Miami at home and Charlotte away

Inter Miami (home)Charlotte (away)
Matches1010
Points per game1.701.50
Goals scored per game2.702.00
Goals conceded per game1.501.80
Shots on target per game6.04.2
Shots on target conceded3.67.6
Clean sheets20%20%
Over 2.5 goals90%80%
Both teams scored80%80%
  • Charlotte have scored in 6 straight league matches.
  • Inter Miami: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 12th in the league.
  • Charlotte: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 27th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Inter Miami matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Charlotte matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

The model makes Inter Miami clear favourites at 63%. The draw is rated at 19% and a win for Charlotte at 18%.

At home this season Inter Miami average 1.70 points and 2.7 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Charlotte take 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Inter Miami manage 6.0 per home game and Charlotte 4.2 per away game.

Form lines: Charlotte have scored in 6 straight league matches.

Inter Miami sit 12th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Charlotte are 5th in the table while the model ranks them only 20th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Expected goals from the model: Inter Miami 2.58, Charlotte 1.33. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 75%.

In their last 5 league meetings Inter Miami won 2, Charlotte won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 3-18%
  • 1-17%
  • 2-07%
  • 2-26%

Inter Miami form

WWLDW
  • Wat New England2-12026-11-02
  • Dvs Cincinnati2-22026-10-28
  • Lat New York RB0-22026-10-24
  • Wat Atlanta United3-12026-10-17
  • Wvs New York City2-02026-10-14

Charlotte form

LDLWW
  • Wvs Orlando City4-02026-10-31
  • Wvs Montréal4-02026-10-28
  • Lat Portland Timbers2-32026-10-25
  • Dat Philadelphia Union2-22026-10-17
  • Lat Columbus Crew1-32026-10-14

Head to head

  • 2026-03-14Charlotte 0-0 Inter Miami
  • 2025-09-13Charlotte 3-0 Inter Miami
  • 2025-03-09Inter Miami 1-0 Charlotte
  • 2024-09-29Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte
  • 2024-07-04Charlotte 1-2 Inter Miami

Prediction made 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.