Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Houston Dynamo41%2.46
- Draw28%3.56
- St. Louis City31%3.20
Double chance
- Houston Dynamo or draw69%1.45
- Houston Dynamo or St. Louis City72%1.39
- Draw or St. Louis City59%1.69
Goals
- Over 2.546%2.15
- Under 2.554%1.87
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.95
- No49%2.05
Match in numbers
This season, Houston Dynamo at home and St. Louis City away
| Houston Dynamo (home) | St. Louis City (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.56 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.22 | 2.12 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.89 | 1.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 2.9 | 5.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 88% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 75% |
- St. Louis City have lost their last 4 league matches.
- Houston Dynamo: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 30th and their defence 5th in the league.
- St. Louis City: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 8th in the league.
- Our predictions for Houston Dynamo matches: 1 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for St. Louis City matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Houston Dynamo 41%, draw 28%, St. Louis City 31%.
At home this season Houston Dynamo average 1.56 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 0.9. Away from home St. Louis City take 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.1 and conceding 1.5. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Houston Dynamo manage 2.9 per home game and St. Louis City 5.5 per away game.
Form lines: St. Louis City have lost their last 4 league matches.
Houston Dynamo are 12th in the table while the model ranks them only 21st on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
St. Louis City are 3rd in the table while the model ranks them only 8th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Houston Dynamo 1.33, St. Louis City 1.21. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 46%.
In their last 5 league meetings Houston Dynamo won 2, St. Louis City won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 0-110%
- 2-18%
- 0-08%
Houston Dynamo form
- Lat Portland Timbers1-32026-11-02
- Wat Seattle Sounders1-02026-10-29
- Dvs Minnesota United0-02026-10-25
- Dvs Dallas2-22026-10-18
- Dat San Diego3-32026-10-15
St. Louis City form
- Lvs San Diego0-12026-10-31
- Lvs Portland Timbers2-32026-10-29
- Lat Real Salt Lake0-32026-10-25
- Lat Minnesota United2-32026-10-17
- Dvs Vancouver Whitecaps0-02026-10-15
Head to head
- 2026-08-23St. Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo
- 2025-08-31St. Louis City 2-3 Houston Dynamo
- 2025-06-29Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis City
- 2024-10-06St. Louis City 3-0 Houston Dynamo
- 2024-05-05Houston Dynamo 0-0 St. Louis City
Prediction made 2026-11-07 23:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.