Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
Bayer Leverkusen4th · 13 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Hoffenheim36%2.77
- Draw24%4.23
- Bayer Leverkusen40%2.49
Double chance
- Hoffenheim or draw60%1.67
- Hoffenheim or Bayer Leverkusen76%1.31
- Draw or Bayer Leverkusen64%1.57
Goals
- Over 2.567%1.49
- Under 2.533%3.03
Both teams to score
- Yes67%1.49
- No33%3.06
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Hoffenheim 36%, draw 24%, Bayer Leverkusen 40%.
Expected goals from the model: Hoffenheim 1.79, Bayer Leverkusen 1.66. The single most likely score is 1-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.
Hoffenheim have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLLWL).
Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WWWDW).
In the table Hoffenheim are 14th with 6 points and Bayer Leverkusen 4th with 13.
In their last 5 league meetings Hoffenheim won 2, Bayer Leverkusen won 3 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 1-06%
Hoffenheim form
- Wat Borussia M'gladbach2-12026-10-18
- Lvs Hamburger SV2-32026-10-10
- Lat Paderborn1-32026-09-20
- Wvs Stuttgart2-12026-09-12
- Lvs Borussia Dortmund2-32026-09-05
Bayer Leverkusen form
- Wvs Freiburg2-12026-10-18
- Wat Mainz 054-32026-10-10
- Wvs RB Leipzig2-02026-09-20
- Dat Augsburg2-22026-09-12
- Wvs Union Berlin4-02026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-01-17Hoffenheim 1-0 Bayer Leverkusen
- 2025-08-23Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Hoffenheim
- 2025-02-02Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Hoffenheim
- 2024-09-14Hoffenheim 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- 2024-03-30Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim
More Bundesliga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.