Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Mainz 0555%1.83
- Draw23%4.44
- Werder Bremen23%4.38
Double chance
- Mainz 05 or draw77%1.30
- Mainz 05 or Werder Bremen77%1.29
- Draw or Werder Bremen45%2.20
Goals
- Over 2.562%1.61
- Under 2.538%2.64
Both teams to score
- Yes61%1.63
- No39%2.59
Match preview
Mainz 05 have the edge at 55%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Werder Bremen at 23%.
Expected goals from the model: Mainz 05 1.92, Werder Bremen 1.28. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 62%.
Mainz 05 have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLW).
Werder Bremen have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DDWDW).
In the table Mainz 05 are 5th with 10 points and Werder Bremen 8th with 9.
In their last 5 league meetings Mainz 05 won 1, Werder Bremen won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 1-08%
- 2-08%
- 1-26%
Mainz 05 form
- Wat Schalke 041-02026-10-17
- Lvs Bayer Leverkusen3-42026-10-10
- Wat Borussia M'gladbach4-32026-09-19
- Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1-32026-09-12
- Wat Hamburger SV5-02026-09-06
Werder Bremen form
- Dvs Paderborn2-22026-10-17
- Dat Borussia Dortmund2-22026-10-09
- Wvs Augsburg3-22026-09-19
- Dat Köln1-12026-09-12
- Wvs RB Leipzig3-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-03-15Werder Bremen 0-2 Mainz 05
- 2025-11-01Mainz 05 1-1 Werder Bremen
- 2025-01-31Werder Bremen 1-0 Mainz 05
- 2024-09-15Mainz 05 1-2 Werder Bremen
- 2024-02-03Mainz 05 0-1 Werder Bremen
More Bundesliga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.