Köln vs Schalke 04 prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 24 October 2026

Köln12th · 7 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Schalke 0415th · 5 pts
KölnDrawSchalke 04
Our predictionKöln to winLean
54%Probability
1.86Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.72-1.02Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Köln54%1.86
  • Draw25%3.98
  • Schalke 0421%4.73

Double chance

  • Köln or draw79%1.27
  • Köln or Schalke 0475%1.34
  • Draw or Schalke 0446%2.16

Goals

  • Over 2.552%1.93
  • Under 2.548%2.07

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.91
  • No48%2.10

Match preview

Köln have the edge at 54%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Schalke 04 at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: Köln 1.72, Schalke 04 1.02. The single most likely score is 1-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.

Köln have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDL).

Schalke 04 have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLDWD).

In the table Köln are 12th with 7 points and Schalke 04 15th with 5.

In their last 5 league meetings Köln won 4, Schalke 04 won 0 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-011%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-010%
  • 0-17%

Köln form

LDLWL
  • Lat Eintracht Frankfurt0-12026-10-16
  • Wvs Borussia M'gladbach2-12026-10-11
  • Lat Hamburger SV1-22026-09-19
  • Dvs Werder Bremen1-12026-09-12
  • Lat Stuttgart1-42026-09-04

Schalke 04 form

DWDLL
  • Lvs Mainz 050-12026-10-17
  • Lat Freiburg1-22026-10-11
  • Dvs Elversberg0-02026-09-20
  • Wat Union Berlin3-12026-09-11
  • Dvs Bayern Munich0-02026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2023-01-29Schalke 04 0-0 Köln
  • 2022-08-07Köln 3-1 Schalke 04
  • 2021-05-22Köln 1-0 Schalke 04
  • 2021-01-20Schalke 04 1-2 Köln
  • 2020-02-29Köln 3-0 Schalke 04

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.