RB Leipzig vs Elversberg prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 24 October 2026

RB Leipzig7th · 9 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Elversberg6th · 10 pts
RB LeipzigDrawElversberg
Our predictionRB Leipzig to winStrong pick
60%Probability
1.67Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.32-1.43Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • RB Leipzig60%1.67
  • Draw19%5.21
  • Elversberg21%4.81

Double chance

  • RB Leipzig or draw79%1.26
  • RB Leipzig or Elversberg81%1.24
  • Draw or Elversberg40%2.50

Goals

  • Over 2.572%1.38
  • Under 2.528%3.61

Both teams to score

  • Yes68%1.46
  • No32%3.17

Match preview

The model makes RB Leipzig clear favourites, with a 60% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Elversberg at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: RB Leipzig 2.32, Elversberg 1.43. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 72%.

RB Leipzig have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLWL).

Elversberg have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLDLW).

In the table RB Leipzig are 7th with 9 points and Elversberg 6th with 10.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-18%
  • 3-17%
  • 2-26%
  • 2-06%

RB Leipzig form

LWLWL
  • Lat Bayern Munich1-62026-10-17
  • Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt6-02026-10-10
  • Lat Bayer Leverkusen0-22026-09-20
  • Wvs Hamburger SV5-02026-09-13
  • Lat Werder Bremen1-32026-09-05

Elversberg form

WLDLW
  • Wvs Augsburg4-32026-10-17
  • Lat Union Berlin0-12026-10-10
  • Dat Schalke 040-02026-09-20
  • Lvs Bayern Munich1-22026-09-13
  • Wat Borussia M'gladbach4-32026-09-05

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.