Stuttgart vs Borussia M'gladbach prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 23 October 2026

Stuttgart13th · 6 pts
Fri 23 Oct
Borussia M'gladbach18th · 0 pts
StuttgartDrawBorussia M'gladbach
Our predictionStuttgart to winStrong pick
75%Probability
1.34Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.88-1.15Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Stuttgart75%1.34
  • Draw14%7.15
  • Borussia M'gladbach11%8.86

Double chance

  • Stuttgart or draw89%1.13
  • Stuttgart or Borussia M'gladbach86%1.16
  • Draw or Borussia M'gladbach25%3.96

Goals

  • Over 2.577%1.31
  • Under 2.523%4.26

Both teams to score

  • Yes64%1.55
  • No36%2.81

Match preview

The model makes Stuttgart clear favourites, with a 75% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 14% and a win for Borussia M'gladbach at 11%.

Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 2.88, Borussia M'gladbach 1.15. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 77%.

Stuttgart have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLLW).

Borussia M'gladbach have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

In the table Stuttgart are 13th with 6 points and Borussia M'gladbach 18th with 0.

In their last 5 league meetings Stuttgart won 4, Borussia M'gladbach won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 3-18%
  • 2-07%
  • 3-07%
  • 4-16%

Stuttgart form

WLLWL
  • Lat Hamburger SV0-12026-10-17
  • Wat Paderborn2-02026-10-10
  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0-12026-09-19
  • Lat Hoffenheim1-22026-09-12
  • Wvs Köln4-12026-09-04

Borussia M'gladbach form

LLLLL
  • Lvs Hoffenheim1-22026-10-18
  • Lat Köln1-22026-10-11
  • Lvs Mainz 053-42026-09-19
  • Lat Freiburg0-52026-09-12
  • Lvs Elversberg3-42026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-01-25Borussia M'gladbach 0-3 Stuttgart
  • 2025-08-30Stuttgart 1-0 Borussia M'gladbach
  • 2025-02-01Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia M'gladbach
  • 2024-09-14Borussia M'gladbach 1-3 Stuttgart
  • 2024-05-18Stuttgart 4-0 Borussia M'gladbach

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.