Paderborn vs Hamburger SV prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 24 October 2026

Paderborn16th · 5 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Hamburger SV9th · 9 pts
PaderbornDrawHamburger SV
Our predictionHamburger SV to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.57Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.34-1.34Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Paderborn34%2.97
  • Draw27%3.64
  • Hamburger SV39%2.57

Double chance

  • Paderborn or draw61%1.64
  • Paderborn or Hamburger SV73%1.38
  • Draw or Hamburger SV66%1.51

Goals

  • Over 2.550%2.00
  • Under 2.550%2.00

Both teams to score

  • Yes54%1.85
  • No46%2.18

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Paderborn 34%, draw 27%, Hamburger SV 39%.

Expected goals from the model: Paderborn 1.34, Hamburger SV 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.

Paderborn have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLWLL).

Hamburger SV have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWWLL).

In the table Paderborn are 16th with 5 points and Hamburger SV 9th with 9.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-09%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-28%

Paderborn form

LLWLD
  • Dat Werder Bremen2-22026-10-17
  • Lvs Stuttgart0-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Hoffenheim3-12026-09-20
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund0-32026-09-12
  • Lvs Freiburg0-12026-09-05

Hamburger SV form

LLWWW
  • Wvs Stuttgart1-02026-10-17
  • Wat Hoffenheim3-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Köln2-12026-09-19
  • Lat RB Leipzig0-52026-09-13
  • Lvs Mainz 050-52026-09-06

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

More Bundesliga predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.