Paderborn vs Hamburger SV prediction
Paderborn16th · 5 ptsSat 24 Oct
PaderbornDrawHamburger SV
Our predictionHamburger SV to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.57Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.34-1.34Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Paderborn34%2.97
- Draw27%3.64
- Hamburger SV39%2.57
Double chance
- Paderborn or draw61%1.64
- Paderborn or Hamburger SV73%1.38
- Draw or Hamburger SV66%1.51
Goals
- Over 2.550%2.00
- Under 2.550%2.00
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.85
- No46%2.18
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Paderborn 34%, draw 27%, Hamburger SV 39%.
Expected goals from the model: Paderborn 1.34, Hamburger SV 1.34. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.
Paderborn have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (DLWLL).
Hamburger SV have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWWLL).
In the table Paderborn are 16th with 5 points and Hamburger SV 9th with 9.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-09%
- 0-19%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
Paderborn form
LLWLD
- Dat Werder Bremen2-22026-10-17
- Lvs Stuttgart0-22026-10-10
- Wvs Hoffenheim3-12026-09-20
- Lat Borussia Dortmund0-32026-09-12
- Lvs Freiburg0-12026-09-05
Hamburger SV form
LLWWW
- Wvs Stuttgart1-02026-10-17
- Wat Hoffenheim3-22026-10-10
- Wvs Köln2-12026-09-19
- Lat RB Leipzig0-52026-09-13
- Lvs Mainz 050-52026-09-06
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
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RB LeipzigMatch result
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AugsburgMatch result
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Borussia DortmundMatch result
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.