Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Gent vs Kortrijk prediction

Belgium · Belgian Pro League · 08 November 2026

Gent4th · 25 pts
1 - 0Full time
Kortrijk18th · 4 pts
GentDrawKortrijk
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Gent to win (73%)
Our predictionGent to winStrong pick
73%Probability
1.36Fair odds
1-0Likely score
2.02-0.82Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Gent73%1.36
  • Draw17%6.03
  • Kortrijk10%9.94

Double chance

  • Gent or draw90%1.11
  • Gent or Kortrijk83%1.20
  • Draw or Kortrijk27%3.75

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.85
  • Under 2.546%2.17

Both teams to score

  • Yes48%2.07
  • No52%1.94

Match in numbers

This season, Gent at home and Kortrijk away

Gent (home)Kortrijk (away)
Matches55
Points per game3.000.20
Goals scored per game2.200.20
Goals conceded per game0.402.20
Shots on target per game6.02.6
Shots on target conceded3.06.2
Clean sheets60%0%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Both teams scored40%20%
  • Gent: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Kortrijk: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 17th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Gent matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Kortrijk matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

The model makes Gent clear favourites at 73%. The draw is rated at 17% and a win for Kortrijk at 10%.

At home this season Gent average 3.00 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 0.4. Away from home Kortrijk take 0.20 points per game, scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.0 per game for Gent at home and 2.6 for Kortrijk on the road.

The model expects 2.02 goals from Gent and 0.82 from Kortrijk; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 54% and both teams to score 48%.

In their last 5 league meetings Gent won 4 and Kortrijk won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 2-012%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 3-08%

Gent form

DWWWL
  • Lat Lommel0-22026-11-01
  • Wvs Anderlecht4-02026-10-25
  • Wat Zulte Waregem2-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Standard Liège2-12026-09-18
  • Dat Racing Genk1-12026-09-13

Kortrijk form

LWLDL
  • Lvs Mechelen1-32026-11-04
  • Dat Standard Liège1-12026-10-31
  • Lat Racing Genk0-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Beveren1-02026-09-20
  • Lat RAAL La Louvière0-32026-09-13

Head to head

  • 2025-03-16Gent 1-2 Kortrijk
  • 2024-07-28Kortrijk 0-1 Gent
  • 2023-12-26Kortrijk 0-2 Gent
  • 2023-07-30Gent 3-2 Kortrijk
  • 2023-01-15Gent 2-1 Kortrijk

Prediction made 2026-11-08 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.