Genoa vs Venezia prediction

Italy · Serie A · 25 October 2026

Genoa17th · 4 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Venezia20th · 3 pts
GenoaDrawVenezia
Our predictionGenoa to winLean
55%Probability
1.82Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.64-1.09Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Genoa55%1.82
  • Draw24%4.21
  • Venezia21%4.69

Double chance

  • Genoa or draw79%1.27
  • Genoa or Venezia76%1.31
  • Draw or Venezia45%2.22

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.95
  • Under 2.549%2.05

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.88
  • No47%2.14

Match preview

Genoa have the edge at 55%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Venezia at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: Genoa 1.64, Venezia 1.09. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.

Genoa have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDL).

Venezia have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (WLLLL).

In the table Genoa are 17th with 4 points and Venezia 20th with 3.

In their last 4 league meetings Genoa won 1, Venezia won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-17%

Genoa form

LDLWL
  • Lat Roma0-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Fiorentina2-12026-10-10
  • Lat Parma1-22026-09-20
  • Dvs Frosinone1-12026-09-12
  • Lvs Como1-42026-09-04

Venezia form

LLLLW
  • Wvs Napoli1-02026-10-17
  • Lat Atalanta1-32026-10-12
  • Lvs Lazio0-22026-09-19
  • Lvs Fiorentina2-42026-09-11
  • Lat Frosinone2-32026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2025-02-17Genoa 2-0 Venezia
  • 2024-09-21Venezia 2-0 Genoa
  • 2022-02-20Venezia 1-1 Genoa
  • 2021-10-31Genoa 0-0 Venezia

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.