Genoa vs Juventus prediction

Italy · Serie A · 28 October 2026

Genoa17th · 4 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Juventus8th · 11 pts
GenoaDrawJuventus
Our predictionJuventus to winLean
57%Probability
1.77Fair odds
0-1Likely score
0.84-1.60Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Genoa18%5.58
  • Draw26%3.92
  • Juventus57%1.77

Double chance

  • Genoa or draw43%2.30
  • Genoa or Juventus74%1.34
  • Draw or Juventus82%1.22

Goals

  • Over 2.544%2.27
  • Under 2.556%1.79

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.22
  • No55%1.82

Match preview

Juventus have the edge at 57%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Genoa at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: Genoa 0.84, Juventus 1.60. The single most likely score is 0-1 (14%), and the chance of three or more goals is 44%.

Genoa have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDL).

Juventus have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDWLD).

In the table Genoa are 17th with 4 points and Juventus 8th with 11.

In their last 5 league meetings Genoa won 0, Juventus won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 0-114%
  • 1-111%
  • 0-211%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-08%

Genoa form

LDLWL
  • Lat Roma0-22026-10-17
  • Wvs Fiorentina2-12026-10-10
  • Lat Parma1-22026-09-20
  • Dvs Frosinone1-12026-09-12
  • Lvs Como1-42026-09-04

Juventus form

DLWDL
  • Lvs Lazio0-32026-10-18
  • Dat Cagliari1-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Atalanta2-02026-09-20
  • Lat Sassuolo2-32026-09-13
  • Dvs AC Milan1-12026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-04-06Juventus 2-0 Genoa
  • 2025-08-31Genoa 0-1 Juventus
  • 2025-03-29Juventus 1-0 Genoa
  • 2024-09-28Genoa 0-3 Juventus
  • 2024-03-17Juventus 0-0 Genoa

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.