Frosinone vs Lecce prediction

Italy · Serie A · 29 October 2026

Frosinone6th · 13 pts
Thu 29 Oct
Lecce12th · 9 pts
FrosinoneDrawLecce
Our predictionFrosinone to winLean
58%Probability
1.72Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.08-1.08Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Frosinone58%1.72
  • Draw23%4.40
  • Lecce19%5.23

Double chance

  • Frosinone or draw81%1.24
  • Frosinone or Lecce77%1.29
  • Draw or Lecce42%2.39

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.64
  • Under 2.539%2.57

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.73
  • No42%2.36

Match preview

Frosinone have the edge at 58%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Lecce at 19%.

Expected goals from the model: Frosinone 2.08, Lecce 1.08. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 61%.

Frosinone have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDW).

Lecce have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLLWL).

In the table Frosinone are 6th with 13 points and Lecce 12th with 9.

In their last 2 league meetings Frosinone won 0, Lecce won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 2-09%
  • 1-09%
  • 3-17%

Frosinone form

WDWLW
  • Wvs Sassuolo4-22026-10-16
  • Lat Napoli0-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Como2-02026-09-20
  • Dat Genoa1-12026-09-12
  • Wvs Venezia3-22026-09-06

Lecce form

LWLLW
  • Wat Udinese3-02026-10-18
  • Lvs Bologna1-22026-10-11
  • Lat AC Milan0-32026-09-20
  • Wvs Monza3-22026-09-13
  • Lat Cagliari0-12026-09-07

Head to head

  • 2024-03-03Frosinone 1-1 Lecce
  • 2023-12-16Lecce 2-1 Frosinone

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.