Freiburg vs Bayern Munich prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Freiburg16%6.26
- Draw18%5.50
- Bayern Munich66%1.52
Double chance
- Freiburg or draw34%2.93
- Freiburg or Bayern Munich82%1.22
- Draw or Bayern Munich84%1.19
Goals
- Over 2.567%1.50
- Under 2.533%3.01
Both teams to score
- Yes62%1.62
- No38%2.63
Match preview
The model makes Bayern Munich clear favourites, with a 66% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 18% and a win for Freiburg at 16%.
Expected goals from the model: Freiburg 1.18, Bayern Munich 2.26. The single most likely score is 1-2 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 67%.
Freiburg have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWDWW).
Bayern Munich have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDWWD).
In the table Freiburg are 3rd with 13 points and Bayern Munich 1st with 14.
In their last 5 league meetings Freiburg won 0, Bayern Munich won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-210%
- 1-18%
- 0-28%
- 0-17%
- 1-37%
Freiburg form
- Lat Bayer Leverkusen1-22026-10-18
- Wvs Schalke 042-12026-10-11
- Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2-22026-09-19
- Wvs Borussia M'gladbach5-02026-09-12
- Wat Paderborn1-02026-09-05
Bayern Munich form
- Wvs RB Leipzig6-12026-10-17
- Dat Augsburg2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Union Berlin7-02026-09-18
- Wat Elversberg2-12026-09-13
- Dat Schalke 040-02026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-04-04Freiburg 2-3 Bayern Munich
- 2025-11-22Bayern Munich 6-2 Freiburg
- 2025-01-25Freiburg 1-2 Bayern Munich
- 2024-09-01Bayern Munich 2-0 Freiburg
- 2024-03-01Freiburg 2-2 Bayern Munich
More Bundesliga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.