Fiorentina vs Atalanta prediction
Thu 29 Oct
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta
Our predictionAtalanta to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.44Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.38-1.54Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Fiorentina33%3.07
- Draw26%3.78
- Atalanta41%2.44
Double chance
- Fiorentina or draw59%1.69
- Fiorentina or Atalanta74%1.36
- Draw or Atalanta67%1.48
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.79
- Under 2.544%2.27
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.71
- No41%2.41
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Fiorentina 33%, draw 26%, Atalanta 41%.
Expected goals from the model: Fiorentina 1.38, Atalanta 1.54. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
Fiorentina have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLDWL).
Atalanta have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LWLLL).
In the table Fiorentina are 18th with 4 points and Atalanta 11th with 9.
In their last 5 league meetings Fiorentina won 2, Atalanta won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-19%
- 2-18%
- 1-08%
Fiorentina form
LWDLL
- Lvs Como1-32026-10-18
- Lat Genoa1-22026-10-10
- Dvs Napoli1-12026-09-20
- Wat Venezia4-22026-09-11
- Lvs Torino1-22026-09-05
Atalanta form
LLLWL
- Lat AC Milan2-32026-10-18
- Wvs Venezia3-12026-10-12
- Lat Juventus0-22026-09-20
- Lvs Cagliari1-22026-09-12
- Lat Roma1-22026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-05-22Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
- 2025-11-30Atalanta 2-0 Fiorentina
- 2025-03-30Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
- 2024-09-15Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
- 2024-06-02Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›TorinoMatch result
52%
1.92Fair odds
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ComoMatch result
71%
1.42Fair odds
Analysis
BolognaMatch result
36%
2.78Fair odds
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NapoliMatch result
37%
2.69Fair odds
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LazioMatch result
65%
1.54Fair odds
Analysis
Inter MilanMatch result
80%
1.25Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.