Elversberg vs Mainz 05 prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 30 October 2026

Elversberg6th · 10 pts
Fri 30 Oct
Mainz 055th · 10 pts
ElversbergDrawMainz 05
Our predictionElversberg to winLean
47%Probability
2.15Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.88-1.41Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Elversberg47%2.15
  • Draw24%4.10
  • Mainz 0529%3.44

Double chance

  • Elversberg or draw71%1.41
  • Elversberg or Mainz 0576%1.32
  • Draw or Mainz 0553%1.87

Goals

  • Over 2.564%1.57
  • Under 2.536%2.77

Both teams to score

  • Yes64%1.57
  • No36%2.77

Match preview

Elversberg have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Mainz 05 at 29%.

Expected goals from the model: Elversberg 1.88, Mainz 05 1.41. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.

Elversberg have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLDLW).

Mainz 05 have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWLW).

In the table Elversberg are 6th with 10 points and Mainz 05 5th with 10.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-07%
  • 1-27%
  • 2-07%

Elversberg form

WLDLW
  • Wvs Augsburg4-32026-10-17
  • Lat Union Berlin0-12026-10-10
  • Dat Schalke 040-02026-09-20
  • Lvs Bayern Munich1-22026-09-13
  • Wat Borussia M'gladbach4-32026-09-05

Mainz 05 form

WLWLW
  • Wat Schalke 041-02026-10-17
  • Lvs Bayer Leverkusen3-42026-10-10
  • Wat Borussia M'gladbach4-32026-09-19
  • Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1-32026-09-12
  • Wat Hamburger SV5-02026-09-06

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.