Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Dallas vs Colorado Rapids prediction

USA · MLS · 08 November 2026

Dallas9th · 30 pts
3 - 1Full time
Colorado Rapids14th · 27 pts
DallasDrawColorado Rapids
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Dallas to win (53%)
Our predictionDallas to winLean
53%Probability
1.90Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.60-1.19Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Dallas53%1.90
  • Draw24%4.18
  • Colorado Rapids24%4.25

Double chance

  • Dallas or draw76%1.31
  • Dallas or Colorado Rapids76%1.31
  • Draw or Colorado Rapids47%2.11

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.90
  • Under 2.547%2.11

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.81
  • No45%2.23

Match in numbers

This season, Dallas at home and Colorado Rapids away

Dallas (home)Colorado Rapids (away)
Matches77
Points per game2.290.43
Goals scored per game1.570.71
Goals conceded per game0.861.86
Shots on target per game5.12.4
Shots on target conceded4.44.9
Clean sheets57%14%
Over 2.5 goals43%57%
Both teams scored29%43%
  • Dallas: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 16th in the league.
  • Colorado Rapids: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 25th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Dallas matches: 2 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Colorado Rapids matches: 1 of 4 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Dallas (53%), though Colorado Rapids win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.

At home this season Dallas average 2.29 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 0.9. Away from home Colorado Rapids take 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.9. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.1 per game for Dallas at home and 2.4 for Colorado Rapids on the road.

Dallas are 9th in the table while the model ranks them only 14th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Colorado Rapids are 14th in the table while the model ranks them only 24th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.60 goals from Dallas and 1.19 from Colorado Rapids; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 55%.

In their last 5 league meetings Dallas won 2, Colorado Rapids won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-18%

Dallas form

WDWLD
  • Dat Sporting KC1-12026-10-31
  • Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-10-29
  • Wvs SJ Earthquakes3-02026-10-25
  • Dat Houston Dynamo2-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Seattle Sounders1-02026-10-15

Colorado Rapids form

DDWDL
  • Lvs Chicago Fire2-42026-11-01
  • Dat SJ Earthquakes2-22026-10-29
  • Wvs Vancouver Whitecaps1-02026-10-25
  • Dat Portland Timbers0-02026-10-18
  • Dvs Minnesota United2-22026-10-15

Head to head

  • 2026-05-24Colorado Rapids 1-2 Dallas
  • 2025-09-21Dallas 3-1 Colorado Rapids
  • 2025-03-02Colorado Rapids 3-3 Dallas
  • 2024-09-01Dallas 2-3 Colorado Rapids
  • 2024-04-21Colorado Rapids 2-1 Dallas

Prediction made 2026-11-07 23:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.