Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Columbus Crew vs DC United prediction

USA · MLS · 31 October 2026

Columbus Crew14th · 25 pts
3 - 0Full time
DC United28th · 15 pts
Columbus CrewDrawDC United
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Columbus Crew to win (65%)
Our predictionColumbus Crew to winStrong pick
65%Probability
1.54Fair odds
2-1Likely score
1.99-1.04Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Columbus Crew65%1.54
  • Draw19%5.13
  • DC United15%6.48

Double chance

  • Columbus Crew or draw85%1.18
  • Columbus Crew or DC United81%1.24
  • Draw or DC United35%2.86

Goals

  • Over 2.558%1.72
  • Under 2.542%2.40

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.80
  • No44%2.25

Match in numbers

This season, Columbus Crew at home and DC United away

Columbus Crew (home)DC United (away)
Matches98
Points per game1.670.38
Goals scored per game1.891.12
Goals conceded per game1.442.50
Shots on target per game5.43.4
Shots on target conceded5.36.2
Clean sheets11%0%
Over 2.5 goals89%75%
Both teams scored78%88%
  • Columbus Crew have won their last 4 league matches.
  • DC United have lost their last 4 league matches.
  • Columbus Crew: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • DC United: 28th in the table; the model rates their attack 29th and their defence 22nd in the league.
  • Our predictions for Columbus Crew matches: 2 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for DC United matches: 4 of 4 correct.

Match preview

The model makes Columbus Crew clear favourites at 65%. The draw is rated at 19% and a win for DC United at 15%.

At home this season Columbus Crew average 1.67 points and 1.9 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home DC United take 0.38 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.4 per game for Columbus Crew at home and 3.4 for DC United on the road.

Current runs: Columbus Crew have won their last 4 league matches; DC United have lost their last 4 league matches.

Columbus Crew sit 14th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 9th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.99 goals from Columbus Crew and 1.04 from DC United; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 56%.

In their last 5 league meetings Columbus Crew won 2, DC United won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 1-010%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-010%
  • 3-17%

Columbus Crew form

LWWWW
  • Wat Dallas2-02026-10-29
  • Wvs Toronto4-22026-10-24
  • Wat Cincinnati2-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Charlotte3-12026-10-14
  • Lat Orlando City2-32026-10-10

DC United form

WLLLL
  • Lat Toronto1-22026-10-28
  • Lvs Cincinnati0-22026-10-24
  • Lat Cincinnati1-22026-10-21
  • Lat Orlando City1-42026-10-17
  • Wvs New York RB2-12026-10-14

Head to head

  • 2026-09-09DC United 2-1 Columbus Crew
  • 2025-07-20Columbus Crew 2-1 DC United
  • 2025-03-29DC United 1-2 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-09-29DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-04-07Columbus Crew 1-1 DC United

Prediction made 2026-10-31 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.