Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire prediction

USA · MLS · 01 November 2026

Colorado Rapids10th · 27 pts
2 - 4Full time
Chicago Fire13th · 26 pts
Colorado RapidsDrawChicago Fire
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Colorado Rapids to win (37%)
Our predictionColorado Rapids to winOpen game
37%Probability
2.69Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.44-1.37Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Colorado Rapids37%2.69
  • Draw27%3.68
  • Chicago Fire36%2.81

Double chance

  • Colorado Rapids or draw64%1.55
  • Colorado Rapids or Chicago Fire73%1.37
  • Draw or Chicago Fire63%1.59

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.88
  • Under 2.547%2.14

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.77
  • No43%2.31

Match in numbers

This season, Colorado Rapids at home and Chicago Fire away

Colorado Rapids (home)Chicago Fire (away)
Matches1010
Points per game2.401.20
Goals scored per game1.401.60
Goals conceded per game0.602.00
Shots on target per game5.65.3
Shots on target conceded2.84.5
Clean sheets70%10%
Over 2.5 goals20%70%
Both teams scored30%70%
  • Colorado Rapids are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • Colorado Rapids: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 25th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Chicago Fire: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Colorado Rapids matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Chicago Fire matches: 1 of 4 correct.

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Colorado Rapids 37%, draw 27%, Chicago Fire 36%.

At home this season Colorado Rapids average 2.40 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 0.6. Away from home Chicago Fire take 1.20 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Colorado Rapids manage 5.6 per home game and Chicago Fire 5.3 per away game.

Form lines: Colorado Rapids are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

Colorado Rapids are 10th in the table while the model ranks them only 24th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Chicago Fire sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Colorado Rapids 1.44, Chicago Fire 1.37. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-19%
  • 1-28%

Colorado Rapids form

DDDWD
  • Dat SJ Earthquakes2-22026-10-29
  • Wvs Vancouver Whitecaps1-02026-10-25
  • Dat Portland Timbers0-02026-10-18
  • Dvs Minnesota United2-22026-10-15
  • Dvs SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-11

Chicago Fire form

WLLWD
  • Dvs Orlando City2-22026-10-29
  • Wat Atlanta United3-22026-10-24
  • Lat New England0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Philadelphia Union1-32026-10-15
  • Wvs New York City2-12026-10-10

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-01 01:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.