Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Cincinnati36%2.81
- Draw25%4.03
- Philadelphia Union40%2.53
Double chance
- Cincinnati or draw60%1.65
- Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union75%1.33
- Draw or Philadelphia Union64%1.55
Goals
- Over 2.564%1.57
- Under 2.536%2.77
Both teams to score
- Yes65%1.54
- No35%2.85
Match in numbers
This season, Cincinnati at home and Philadelphia Union away
| Cincinnati (home) | Philadelphia Union (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 2.43 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.25 | 2.71 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 1.14 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.9 | 5.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 71% |
| Both teams scored | 88% | 71% |
- Cincinnati: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 20th in the league.
- Philadelphia Union: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 2nd in the league.
- Our predictions for Cincinnati matches: 2 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Philadelphia Union matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 36% for Cincinnati, 25% for the draw and 40% for Philadelphia Union.
At home this season Cincinnati average 1.75 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Philadelphia Union take 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.1. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 7.9 per game for Cincinnati at home and 5.4 for Philadelphia Union on the road.
Cincinnati sit 17th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 10th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.62 goals from Cincinnati and 1.67 from Philadelphia Union; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 64% and both teams to score 65%.
In their last 5 league meetings Cincinnati won 2 and Philadelphia Union won 3.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Cincinnati form
- Dat Inter Miami2-22026-10-28
- Wat DC United2-02026-10-24
- Wvs DC United2-12026-10-21
- Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-10-18
- Lvs New England2-32026-10-14
Philadelphia Union form
- Dat Nashville SC0-02026-10-29
- Lvs New England1-22026-10-24
- Dvs Charlotte2-22026-10-17
- Wat Chicago Fire3-12026-10-15
- Wvs Real Salt Lake2-12026-10-10
Head to head
- 2026-09-09Philadelphia Union 5-0 Cincinnati
- 2025-08-30Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union
- 2025-03-02Philadelphia Union 4-1 Cincinnati
- 2024-10-19Philadelphia Union 1-2 Cincinnati
- 2024-06-20Cincinnati 4-3 Philadelphia Union
Prediction made 2026-10-31 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.