Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Cincinnati vs Nashville SC prediction

USA · MLS · 07 November 2026

Cincinnati15th · 26 pts
0 - 2Full time
Nashville SC1st · 41 pts
CincinnatiDrawNashville SC
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Nashville SC to win (43%)
Our predictionNashville SC to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.33Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.49-1.60Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Cincinnati32%3.13
  • Draw25%3.99
  • Nashville SC43%2.33

Double chance

  • Cincinnati or draw57%1.75
  • Cincinnati or Nashville SC75%1.33
  • Draw or Nashville SC68%1.47

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.67
  • Under 2.540%2.48

Both teams to score

  • Yes62%1.62
  • No38%2.61

Match in numbers

This season, Cincinnati at home and Nashville SC away

Cincinnati (home)Nashville SC (away)
Matches99
Points per game1.891.44
Goals scored per game2.111.44
Goals conceded per game1.781.00
Shots on target per game7.24.0
Shots on target conceded4.44.2
Clean sheets11%33%
Over 2.5 goals67%44%
Both teams scored78%56%
  • Nashville SC are unbeaten in 9 league matches.
  • Cincinnati: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 20th in the league.
  • Nashville SC: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 1st in the league.
  • Our predictions for Cincinnati matches: 2 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Nashville SC matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 32% for Cincinnati, 25% for the draw and 43% for Nashville SC.

At home this season Cincinnati average 1.89 points and 2.1 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Nashville SC take 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 7.2 per game for Cincinnati at home and 4.0 for Nashville SC on the road.

Current runs: Nashville SC are unbeaten in 9 league matches.

Cincinnati sit 15th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 10th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.49 goals from Cincinnati and 1.60 from Nashville SC; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 62%.

In their last 5 league meetings Cincinnati won 2, Nashville SC won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 2-18%
  • 0-17%
  • 1-07%

Cincinnati form

LWWDW
  • Wvs Philadelphia Union1-02026-10-31
  • Dat Inter Miami2-22026-10-28
  • Wat DC United2-02026-10-24
  • Wvs DC United2-12026-10-21
  • Lvs Columbus Crew0-22026-10-18

Nashville SC form

WDWDW
  • Wvs New York RB3-22026-11-01
  • Dvs Philadelphia Union0-02026-10-29
  • Wat Montréal2-02026-10-24
  • Dat SJ Earthquakes1-12026-10-18
  • Wvs Sporting KC4-02026-10-15

Head to head

  • 2026-08-30Nashville SC 4-0 Cincinnati
  • 2025-09-13Cincinnati 2-1 Nashville SC
  • 2025-03-30Nashville SC 1-2 Cincinnati
  • 2024-09-22Nashville SC 2-2 Cincinnati
  • 2024-05-30Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville SC

Prediction made 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.