Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew prediction

USA · MLS · 07 November 2026

Chicago Fire11th · 29 pts
3 - 4Full time
Columbus Crew13th · 28 pts
Chicago FireDrawColumbus Crew
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Chicago Fire to win (51%)
Our predictionChicago Fire to winLean
51%Probability
1.98Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.86-1.30Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Chicago Fire51%1.98
  • Draw24%4.16
  • Columbus Crew25%3.93

Double chance

  • Chicago Fire or draw75%1.34
  • Chicago Fire or Columbus Crew76%1.32
  • Draw or Columbus Crew49%2.02

Goals

  • Over 2.561%1.64
  • Under 2.539%2.57

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.63
  • No39%2.58

Match in numbers

This season, Chicago Fire at home and Columbus Crew away

Chicago Fire (home)Columbus Crew (away)
Matches88
Points per game1.751.25
Goals scored per game1.751.75
Goals conceded per game1.501.62
Shots on target per game4.94.5
Shots on target conceded4.25.6
Clean sheets0%38%
Over 2.5 goals88%62%
Both teams scored100%62%
  • Columbus Crew have won their last 5 league matches.
  • Chicago Fire: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Columbus Crew: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 9th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Chicago Fire matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Columbus Crew matches: 2 of 4 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Chicago Fire (51%), though Columbus Crew win 25% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.

At home this season Chicago Fire average 1.75 points and 1.8 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Columbus Crew take 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.9 per game for Chicago Fire at home and 4.5 for Columbus Crew on the road.

Current runs: Columbus Crew have won their last 5 league matches.

Chicago Fire sit 11th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.86 goals from Chicago Fire and 1.30 from Columbus Crew; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 61%.

In their last 5 league meetings Chicago Fire won 1, Columbus Crew won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-08%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-27%

Chicago Fire form

LLWDW
  • Wat Colorado Rapids4-22026-11-01
  • Dvs Orlando City2-22026-10-29
  • Wat Atlanta United3-22026-10-24
  • Lat New England0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Philadelphia Union1-32026-10-15

Columbus Crew form

WWWWW
  • Wvs DC United3-02026-10-31
  • Wat Dallas2-02026-10-29
  • Wvs Toronto4-22026-10-24
  • Wat Cincinnati2-02026-10-18
  • Wvs Charlotte3-12026-10-14

Head to head

  • 2026-03-08Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire
  • 2025-09-28Chicago Fire 2-0 Columbus Crew
  • 2025-02-23Columbus Crew 4-2 Chicago Fire
  • 2024-05-19Chicago Fire 1-3 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-03-10Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire

Prediction made 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.