Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Charlotte vs Orlando City prediction

USA · MLS · 31 October 2026

Charlotte5th · 29 pts
4 - 0Full time
Orlando City6th · 29 pts
CharlotteDrawOrlando City
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Charlotte to win (49%)
Our predictionCharlotte to winLean
49%Probability
2.06Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.24-1.80Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Charlotte49%2.06
  • Draw21%4.76
  • Orlando City30%3.29

Double chance

  • Charlotte or draw70%1.44
  • Charlotte or Orlando City79%1.27
  • Draw or Orlando City51%1.95

Goals

  • Over 2.577%1.30
  • Under 2.523%4.29

Both teams to score

  • Yes74%1.34
  • No26%3.90

Match in numbers

This season, Charlotte at home and Orlando City away

Charlotte (home)Orlando City (away)
Matches78
Points per game2.001.12
Goals scored per game2.142.62
Goals conceded per game1.002.62
Shots on target per game5.95.1
Shots on target conceded4.97.0
Clean sheets29%12%
Over 2.5 goals71%100%
Both teams scored57%88%
  • Orlando City are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • Charlotte: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 27th in the league.
  • Orlando City: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 29th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Charlotte matches: 3 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Orlando City matches: 2 of 4 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Charlotte (49%), though Orlando City win 30% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 21%.

At home this season Charlotte average 2.00 points and 2.1 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Orlando City take 1.12 points per game, scoring 2.6 and conceding 2.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.9 per game for Charlotte at home and 5.1 for Orlando City on the road.

Current runs: Orlando City are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

Charlotte are 5th in the table while the model ranks them only 20th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

Orlando City are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 19th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 2.24 goals from Charlotte and 1.80 from Orlando City; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8%, over 2.5 goals 77% and both teams to score 74%.

In their last 5 league meetings Orlando City won 2 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-18%
  • 2-27%
  • 1-17%
  • 1-26%
  • 3-16%

Charlotte form

WLDLW
  • Wvs Montréal4-02026-10-28
  • Lat Portland Timbers2-32026-10-25
  • Dat Philadelphia Union2-22026-10-17
  • Lat Columbus Crew1-32026-10-14
  • Wvs Dallas3-22026-10-10

Orlando City form

WDWDD
  • Dat Chicago Fire2-22026-10-29
  • Dvs New York City2-22026-10-24
  • Wvs DC United4-12026-10-17
  • Dat Toronto3-32026-10-14
  • Wvs Columbus Crew3-22026-10-10

Head to head

  • 2026-04-22Orlando City 4-1 Charlotte
  • 2025-07-06Charlotte 2-2 Orlando City
  • 2025-05-15Orlando City 3-1 Charlotte
  • 2024-11-09Orlando City 1-1 Charlotte
  • 2024-11-01Charlotte 0-0 Orlando City

Prediction made 2026-10-31 16:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.