Casa Pia vs Sporting CP prediction
Casa Pia17th · 4 pts
Sporting CP3rd · 18 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Casa Pia6%16.94
- Draw13%7.87
- Sporting CP81%1.23
Double chance
- Casa Pia or draw19%5.37
- Casa Pia or Sporting CP87%1.15
- Draw or Sporting CP94%1.06
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.79
- Under 2.544%2.27
Both teams to score
- Yes44%2.26
- No56%1.79
Match preview
The model makes Sporting CP clear favourites, with a 81% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 13% and a win for Casa Pia at 6%.
Expected goals from the model: Casa Pia 0.69, Sporting CP 2.23. The single most likely score is 0-2 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
Casa Pia have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWLDL).
Sporting CP have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDDWW).
In the table Casa Pia are 17th with 4 points and Sporting CP 3rd with 18.
In their last 5 league meetings Casa Pia won 0, Sporting CP won 5 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 0-213%
- 0-112%
- 0-310%
- 1-29%
- 1-18%
Casa Pia form
- Lvs Santa Clara0-12026-10-10
- Wat Estoril2-12026-09-20
- Lvs Porto1-42026-09-12
- Dat Vitória Guimarães0-02026-09-06
- Lvs Moreirense0-12026-08-30
Sporting CP form
- Wat Sporting Braga3-12026-10-09
- Dvs Arouca2-22026-09-19
- Dat Famalicão1-12026-09-13
- Wvs Nacional2-02026-09-05
- Wat Rio Ave4-02026-08-28
Head to head
- 2026-01-16Sporting CP 3-0 Casa Pia
- 2025-08-08Casa Pia 0-2 Sporting CP
- 2025-03-09Casa Pia 1-3 Sporting CP
- 2024-10-05Sporting CP 2-0 Casa Pia
- 2024-01-29Sporting CP 8-0 Casa Pia
More Primeira Liga predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.