Bologna vs Monza prediction
Bologna15th · 5 pts
Monza14th · 7 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Bologna60%1.67
- Draw20%4.95
- Monza20%5.03
Double chance
- Bologna or draw80%1.25
- Bologna or Monza80%1.25
- Draw or Monza40%2.49
Goals
- Over 2.558%1.71
- Under 2.542%2.41
Both teams to score
- Yes59%1.69
- No41%2.44
Match in numbers
This season, Bologna at home and Monza away
| Bologna (home) | Monza (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.75 | 2.80 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.8 | 6.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% |
- Monza have scored in 8 straight league matches.
- Bologna: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Monza: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 19th in the league.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Bologna (60%), though Monza win 20% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 20%.
At home this season Bologna average 0.50 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Monza take 0.20 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.8 per game for Bologna at home and 6.2 for Monza on the road.
Current runs: Monza have scored in 8 straight league matches.
Bologna sit 15th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 10th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.79 goals from Bologna and 1.24 from Monza; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 59%.
In their last 5 league meetings Bologna won 2, Monza won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-08%
- 1-27%
Bologna form
- Lvs Inter Milan1-32026-10-17
- Wat Lecce2-12026-10-11
- Dvs Torino1-12026-09-19
- Lat Napoli0-12026-09-13
- Dvs Sassuolo2-22026-09-06
Monza form
- Lat Torino2-32026-10-23
- Wvs Cagliari4-02026-10-19
- Lat Lazio1-32026-10-11
- Wvs Sassuolo2-12026-09-18
- Lat Lecce2-32026-09-13
Head to head
- 2025-01-18Bologna 3-1 Monza
- 2024-09-22Monza 1-2 Bologna
- 2024-04-13Bologna 0-0 Monza
- 2023-09-28Monza 0-0 Bologna
- 2023-02-12Bologna 0-1 Monza
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.