Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Bologna vs Monza prediction

Italy · Serie A · 31 October 2026

Bologna15th · 5 pts
Sat 31 Oct
Monza14th · 7 pts
BolognaDrawMonza
Our predictionBologna to winLean
60%Probability
1.67Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.79-1.24Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Bologna60%1.67
  • Draw20%4.95
  • Monza20%5.03

Double chance

  • Bologna or draw80%1.25
  • Bologna or Monza80%1.25
  • Draw or Monza40%2.49

Goals

  • Over 2.558%1.71
  • Under 2.542%2.41

Both teams to score

  • Yes59%1.69
  • No41%2.44

Match in numbers

This season, Bologna at home and Monza away

Bologna (home)Monza (away)
Matches45
Points per game0.500.20
Goals scored per game1.001.40
Goals conceded per game1.752.80
Shots on target per game3.86.2
Shots on target conceded5.04.5
Clean sheets0%0%
Over 2.5 goals50%80%
Both teams scored75%100%
  • Monza have scored in 8 straight league matches.
  • Bologna: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 7th in the league.
  • Monza: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 19th in the league.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Bologna (60%), though Monza win 20% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 20%.

At home this season Bologna average 0.50 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.8. Away from home Monza take 0.20 points per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 3.8 per game for Bologna at home and 6.2 for Monza on the road.

Current runs: Monza have scored in 8 straight league matches.

Bologna sit 15th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 10th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.79 goals from Bologna and 1.24 from Monza; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 58% and both teams to score 59%.

In their last 5 league meetings Bologna won 2, Monza won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-08%
  • 1-27%

Bologna form

DLDWL
  • Lvs Inter Milan1-32026-10-17
  • Wat Lecce2-12026-10-11
  • Dvs Torino1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Napoli0-12026-09-13
  • Dvs Sassuolo2-22026-09-06

Monza form

LWLWL
  • Lat Torino2-32026-10-23
  • Wvs Cagliari4-02026-10-19
  • Lat Lazio1-32026-10-11
  • Wvs Sassuolo2-12026-09-18
  • Lat Lecce2-32026-09-13

Head to head

  • 2025-01-18Bologna 3-1 Monza
  • 2024-09-22Monza 1-2 Bologna
  • 2024-04-13Bologna 0-0 Monza
  • 2023-09-28Monza 0-0 Bologna
  • 2023-02-12Bologna 0-1 Monza

More Serie A predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.