Austin vs Portland Timbers prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Austin36%2.79
- Draw25%4.02
- Portland Timbers39%2.55
Double chance
- Austin or draw61%1.65
- Austin or Portland Timbers75%1.33
- Draw or Portland Timbers64%1.56
Goals
- Over 2.564%1.57
- Under 2.536%2.76
Both teams to score
- Yes65%1.54
- No35%2.85
Match in numbers
This season, Austin at home and Portland Timbers away
| Austin (home) | Portland Timbers (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| Points per game | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.44 | 1.88 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.89 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.8 | 6.4 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 88% |
- Austin have scored in 7 straight league matches.
- Portland Timbers have won their last 3 league matches.
- Austin: 23rd in the table; the model rates their attack 28th and their defence 28th in the league.
- Portland Timbers: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 21st in the league.
- Our predictions for Austin matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Portland Timbers matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Austin 36%, draw 25%, Portland Timbers 39%.
At home this season Austin average 0.78 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 1.9. Away from home Portland Timbers take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.9 and conceding 2.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Austin manage 4.7 per home game and Portland Timbers 4.8 per away game.
Form lines: Austin have scored in 7 straight league matches; Portland Timbers have won their last 3 league matches.
Austin are 23rd in the table while the model ranks them only 30th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Portland Timbers are 11th in the table while the model ranks them only 18th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
Expected goals from the model: Austin 1.61, Portland Timbers 1.67. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.
In their last 5 league meetings Austin won 2, Portland Timbers won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Austin form
- Lat LA Galaxy1-42026-10-31
- Lvs Real Salt Lake1-22026-10-29
- Wat Sporting KC2-12026-10-25
- Lvs Vancouver Whitecaps1-22026-10-18
- Lat Los Angeles1-32026-10-15
Portland Timbers form
- Wvs Houston Dynamo3-12026-11-02
- Wat St. Louis City3-22026-10-29
- Wvs Charlotte3-22026-10-25
- Dvs Colorado Rapids0-02026-10-18
- Lat LA Galaxy0-22026-10-15
Head to head
- 2026-08-30Portland Timbers 1-2 Austin
- 2025-04-06Austin 0-0 Portland Timbers
- 2025-03-02Portland Timbers 1-0 Austin
- 2024-10-03Portland Timbers 0-1 Austin
- 2024-05-30Austin 0-2 Portland Timbers
Prediction made 2026-11-07 23:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.