Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Al Hilal88%1.14
- Draw8%12.88
- Al Fateh4%23.19
Double chance
- Al Hilal or draw96%1.05
- Al Hilal or Al Fateh92%1.08
- Draw or Al Fateh12%8.28
Goals
- Over 2.573%1.37
- Under 2.527%3.72
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.84
- No46%2.19
Match in numbers
This season, Al Hilal at home and Al Fateh away
| Al Hilal (home) | Al Fateh (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.4 | 5.2 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.4 | 5.0 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
- Al Hilal have won their last 4 league matches.
- Al Hilal: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 1st in the league.
- Al Fateh: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 17th in the league.
Match preview
On the numbers this is Al Hilal's match to lose. The model gives them 88%, with the draw at 8% and Al Fateh at 4%.
At home this season Al Hilal average 2.40 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Al Fateh take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Al Hilal manage 5.4 per home game and Al Fateh 5.2 per away game.
Form lines: Al Hilal have won their last 4 league matches.
Al Fateh sit 16th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 9th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Al Hilal 2.95, Al Fateh 0.86. The single most likely score is 2-0 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 73%.
Al Hilal won all 5 of the last league meetings between the two.
Most likely scores
- 2-010%
- 3-010%
- 2-18%
- 3-18%
- 4-07%
Al Hilal form
- Wat Al Qadsiah3-22026-10-23
- Wvs Al Hazem1-02026-10-19
- Wvs Al Ittihad3-22026-10-10
- Wat Al Taawoun6-02026-09-12
- Lvs NEOM0-22026-09-07
Al Fateh form
- Lvs Al Shabab1-32026-10-22
- Lvs Al Khaleej2-32026-10-18
- Wat Al Hazem3-22026-10-15
- Lvs Al Ahli0-42026-10-09
- Lat NEOM2-42026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-03-14Al Fateh 0-1 Al Hilal
- 2025-11-22Al Hilal 2-1 Al Fateh
- 2025-05-16Al Fateh 3-4 Al Hilal
- 2025-01-16Al Hilal 9-0 Al Fateh
- 2024-04-26Al Hilal 3-1 Al Fateh
Prediction made 2026-10-31 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.