Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Al Ahli79%1.27
- Draw14%7.31
- Al Khaleej7%13.38
Double chance
- Al Ahli or draw93%1.08
- Al Ahli or Al Khaleej86%1.16
- Draw or Al Khaleej21%4.73
Goals
- Over 2.560%1.68
- Under 2.540%2.48
Both teams to score
- Yes49%2.04
- No51%1.96
Match in numbers
This season, Al Ahli at home and Al Khaleej away
| Al Ahli (home) | Al Khaleej (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored per game | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.33 | 1.40 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.7 | 3.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.3 | 5.0 |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 60% |
- Al Ahli have won their last 3 league matches.
- Al Khaleej are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
- Al Ahli: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Al Khaleej: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 15th in the league.
Match preview
On the numbers this is Al Ahli's match to lose. The model gives them 79%, with the draw at 14% and Al Khaleej at 7%.
At home this season Al Ahli average 3.00 points and 4.0 goals per game, conceding 0.3. Away from home Al Khaleej take 1.20 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Al Ahli manage 7.7 per home game and Al Khaleej 3.0 per away game.
Form lines: Al Ahli have won their last 3 league matches; Al Khaleej are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Al Ahli 2.30, Al Khaleej 0.79. The single most likely score is 2-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.
In their last 5 league meetings Al Ahli won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 2-012%
- 1-011%
- 2-110%
- 3-09%
- 1-18%
Al Ahli form
- Wat Al Fayha3-22026-10-19
- Wat Al Fateh4-02026-10-09
- Wvs Al Hazem3-12026-09-11
- Lat Al Qadsiah2-32026-09-08
- Wvs Al Riyadh5-02026-09-04
Al Khaleej form
- Wat Al Fateh3-22026-10-18
- Wvs Al Fayha2-02026-10-15
- Dat Al Ettifaq1-12026-10-10
- Dvs Al Nassr1-12026-09-12
- Dvs Al Riyadh0-02026-09-07
Head to head
- 2026-05-20Al Khaleej 1-4 Al Ahli
- 2026-01-20Al Ahli 4-1 Al Khaleej
- 2025-03-07Al Ahli 2-2 Al Khaleej
- 2024-10-18Al Khaleej 0-3 Al Ahli
- 2023-12-29Al Ahli 1-0 Al Khaleej
Prediction made 2026-10-23 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.