AC Milan vs Inter Milan prediction
Inter Milan1st · 19 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- AC Milan26%3.90
- Draw25%4.03
- Inter Milan50%2.02
Double chance
- AC Milan or draw50%1.98
- AC Milan or Inter Milan75%1.33
- Draw or Inter Milan74%1.34
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.78
- Under 2.544%2.27
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.73
- No42%2.37
Match in numbers
This season, AC Milan at home and Inter Milan away
| AC Milan (home) | Inter Milan (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.0 | 6.7 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
- AC Milan are unbeaten in 7 league matches.
- Inter Milan are unbeaten in 17 league matches.
- AC Milan: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 6th in the league.
- Inter Milan: 1st in the table; the model rates their attack 1st and their defence 5th in the league.
Match preview
Inter Milan have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for AC Milan at 26%.
At home this season AC Milan average 3.00 points and 2.7 goals per game, conceding 0.7. Away from home Inter Milan take 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, AC Milan manage 5.0 per home game and Inter Milan 6.7 per away game.
Form lines: AC Milan are unbeaten in 7 league matches; Inter Milan are unbeaten in 17 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: AC Milan 1.25, Inter Milan 1.68. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
In their last 5 league meetings AC Milan won 3, Inter Milan won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-19%
- 0-28%
- 2-17%
AC Milan form
- Wvs Atalanta3-22026-10-18
- Dat Sassuolo1-12026-10-11
- Wvs Lecce3-02026-09-20
- Dat Lazio2-22026-09-12
- Dat Juventus1-12026-09-06
Inter Milan form
- Wat Bologna3-12026-10-17
- Wvs Parma3-02026-10-10
- Dat Roma2-22026-09-19
- Wvs Udinese5-32026-09-14
- Wvs Napoli3-22026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-03-08AC Milan 1-0 Inter Milan
- 2025-11-23Inter Milan 0-1 AC Milan
- 2025-02-02AC Milan 1-1 Inter Milan
- 2024-09-22Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
- 2024-04-22AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.