AC Milan vs Bologna prediction
Bologna15th · 5 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- AC Milan53%1.90
- Draw25%3.95
- Bologna22%4.56
Double chance
- AC Milan or draw78%1.28
- AC Milan or Bologna75%1.34
- Draw or Bologna47%2.12
Goals
- Over 2.543%2.34
- Under 2.557%1.75
Both teams to score
- Yes47%2.12
- No53%1.89
Match preview
AC Milan have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Bologna at 22%.
Expected goals from the model: AC Milan 1.40, Bologna 0.99. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.
AC Milan have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDWDD).
Bologna have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLD).
In the table AC Milan are 4th with 15 points and Bologna 15th with 5.
In their last 5 league meetings AC Milan won 3, Bologna won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-112%
- 0-19%
- 2-09%
- 0-09%
AC Milan form
- Wvs Atalanta3-22026-10-18
- Dat Sassuolo1-12026-10-11
- Wvs Lecce3-02026-09-20
- Dat Lazio2-22026-09-12
- Dat Juventus1-12026-09-06
Bologna form
- Lvs Inter Milan1-32026-10-17
- Wat Lecce2-12026-10-11
- Dvs Torino1-12026-09-19
- Lat Napoli0-12026-09-13
- Dvs Sassuolo2-22026-09-06
Head to head
- 2026-02-03Bologna 0-3 AC Milan
- 2025-09-14AC Milan 1-0 Bologna
- 2025-05-09AC Milan 3-1 Bologna
- 2025-02-27Bologna 2-1 AC Milan
- 2024-01-27AC Milan 2-2 Bologna
More Serie A predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.