York City vs Port Vale prediction

England · League Two · 24 October 2026

York City6th · 17 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Port Vale20th · 12 pts
York CityDrawPort Vale
Our predictionYork City to winLean
51%Probability
1.97Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.39-0.97Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • York City51%1.97
  • Draw26%3.78
  • Port Vale23%4.39

Double chance

  • York City or draw77%1.30
  • York City or Port Vale74%1.36
  • Draw or Port Vale49%2.03

Goals

  • Over 2.542%2.38
  • Under 2.558%1.72

Both teams to score

  • Yes46%2.16
  • No54%1.87

Match preview

York City have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Port Vale at 23%.

Expected goals from the model: York City 1.39, Port Vale 0.97. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 42%.

York City have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDDWL).

Port Vale have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLW).

In the table York City are 6th with 17 points and Port Vale 20th with 12.

Most likely scores

  • 1-013%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-19%
  • 0-09%
  • 2-09%

York City form

LWDDD
  • Dvs Accrington Stanley1-12026-10-20
  • Dat Newport County1-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Northampton Town1-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Gillingham3-02026-09-26
  • Lat Chesterfield0-22026-09-19

Port Vale form

WLWWD
  • Dat Gillingham1-12026-10-20
  • Wvs Chesterfield1-02026-10-17
  • Wvs Grimsby Town1-02026-10-10
  • Lat Walsall0-22026-09-19
  • Wvs Exeter City1-02026-09-12

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.