York City vs Port Vale prediction
York City6th · 17 ptsSat 24 Oct
Port Vale20th · 12 ptsYork CityDrawPort Vale
Our predictionYork City to winLean
51%Probability
1.97Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.39-0.97Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- York City51%1.97
- Draw26%3.78
- Port Vale23%4.39
Double chance
- York City or draw77%1.30
- York City or Port Vale74%1.36
- Draw or Port Vale49%2.03
Goals
- Over 2.542%2.38
- Under 2.558%1.72
Both teams to score
- Yes46%2.16
- No54%1.87
Match preview
York City have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Port Vale at 23%.
Expected goals from the model: York City 1.39, Port Vale 0.97. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 42%.
York City have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDDWL).
Port Vale have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLW).
In the table York City are 6th with 17 points and Port Vale 20th with 12.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-112%
- 0-19%
- 0-09%
- 2-09%
York City form
LWDDD
- Dvs Accrington Stanley1-12026-10-20
- Dat Newport County1-12026-10-17
- Dvs Northampton Town1-12026-10-10
- Wvs Gillingham3-02026-09-26
- Lat Chesterfield0-22026-09-19
Port Vale form
WLWWD
- Dat Gillingham1-12026-10-20
- Wvs Chesterfield1-02026-10-17
- Wvs Grimsby Town1-02026-10-10
- Lat Walsall0-22026-09-19
- Wvs Exeter City1-02026-09-12
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.